- Page 1/3
- Next Page
COMMENT
Hopes of a phase one trade deal and tariff rollback are fuelling the S&P's all-time highs today. The market says the growth outlook has improved and the yield has steepened. Growth is slowing and we're late in the cycle, though she doesn't see a recession. The US consumer is the main driver there; job numbers are healthy. And interest rates are declining which also boosts markets. Whatever trade deal is announced won't be all-encompassing and talks will continue. A pullback is possible, though not highly likely, but there's always uncertainty about what Trump will say or do. She looks at Canadian income and foreign growth stocks. Don't chase any stocks now.
BUY
Has owned this since 2012 and buying it recently. Launching their streaming service today. Last week, they reported good numbers about their Dutch test for Disney+. Their movies and theme parks are performing well. They can leverage their content well to attract subscribers. Overall, she's confident Disney+ will do well. Wait for a pullback and don't chase this. Buy for the long term.
entertainment services
DON'T BUY
BUY
Pays a good yield (4.24%). The share price has pulled back, because they're facing more supply in Ontario which drove the occupancy rate to 87%. Management thinks occupancy has bottomed and will slowly rise. Long-term demand is there, despite this temporary over-build. Outside Ontario is doing well. Their cash flow should improve going forward as will their net operating income in 2020 by 3-4%.
property mngmnt
investment
BUY ON WEAKNESS
They had a good quarter with cash flow beating expectations. She wouldn't rush to buy it at current levels, but rather wait for a pullback. Line 3 will likely go through. A good long-term buy in pipelines, something Canadian oil really needs. So, ENB's pipelines are valuable assets. Pays an attractive yield, too, that should rise along with cash flow growth.
oil
gas pipelines
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 13/18, Up 33%) They've benefited from this past year's market move to defensive stocks. They bought New Brunswick Gas from ENB and another nat. gas facility in New York state; and they're closing a deal on another in Bermuda. So, they've added generation capacity. They're make hydro, wind and solar energy, which she likes. The dividend yield pays 4.2% which is growing 10% annually. She still likes it. A good, long-term hold. It's smaller than Fortis, so they can grow faster.
electrical utilities
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 13/18, Up 9%) She likes Canadian banks as a group The banks were held back this year from concerns over the Canadian economy and housing market, but the former has been resilient and the latter has stabilized. Also, TD co-owns Ameritrade which got hit in a rate war recently. So, TD's 2020 earnings were revised down 2-3%, but she expects TD to grow earnings around 5% this year. It's still trading at a fine valuation, and they can still grow earnings, though not as strong as in prior years. Will grow their dividend at the same pace.
banks
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 13/18, Up 40%) Incredible that they're growing their revenue double-digit considering their size. They're growing their cloud service, Azure, well and will continue to do so. MSFT is catching up to Amazon in the cloud. MSFT just won a big US government contract, US$10 billion over 10 years, which was expected to go to Amazon. MSFT has a lot of cash, which she likes, at $7/share, so they can fund their own growth without going into debt markets.
computer software
processing
COMMENT
They report on the 14th. The stock has pulled back, but so have American cinema stocks. They have been diversifying away from cinemas, which adds debt. But long-term, management believes this is the right strategy. The Rec Room is gaining traction. She bought CGX years ago for the dividend, but their investing in other areas make her wait-and-see. Disney hits have been driving traffic. Also, concession spending continues to grow, and CGX now offers alcohol.
other services
DON'T BUY
Molson Coors vs. Kraft Heinz She owns neither. Kraft Heinz has pulled back a lot; 3G Capital bought them and they're famous for cutting and not reinvesting, which limits product innovation. There's little growth in North American staples; the space is very mature and highly competitive. Molson Coors: She doesn't own any beer companies, because they're all richly priced. Also, beer drinking is declining over time. She gives a slight edge to Molson Coors, but unethusiastically, because KHC is limited by the mature N.A. market.
food processing
DON'T BUY
They're reporting soon. There's a lot of oversupply in the sector; the black market sells cheaper weed and legal distribution is tight. This industry is still evolving. There was a lot of froth before in this space. Also, the laws keep changing. Weed companies aren't making money. She's sitting on the sidelines.
