BUY

The largest private equity company in the world. BX has raised a ton of money lately, but the trouble is how do they put this money to work? Low interest rates help, because they leverage a lot. They are in real estate, and loans, not just private equity--so well-diversified. Problem is, BX now competes heavily in private markets (with BAM-N, for example), an area which enjoys higher rates of return. There's a lot of money chasing fewer deals. However, BX is an incredibly well-run company.

COMMENT
The core business continues to thrive, generating tons of cash. But cash generates has declined in recent years, because of capex spending post-the 2016 US election. The problem is people feel FB has lied or is dishonest, and this is harder to overcome.
BUY ON WEAKNESS

The pharma sector. Any picks? Pharma's problem is the US election cycle when candidates always bash big pharma. But these stocks are not expensive now, like JNJ which boasts 3 divisions (consumer, medical devices and pharma); and Novo Nordisk, which offers a diabetes pill and obesity pill. Buy a small position now as well as when they pull back during the election campaign, and certainly after the election. NVO increases its dividend perennially. The Dems and Republicans are equally critical of pharma.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Buy now ahead of the holiday shopping season? It's cheap, trading at 10x earnings. They have 3 issues: they're losing revenues from losing Amazon; the TNT Express acquisition has been really difficult to absorb; and they are going to 7 days of ground delivery which raises their costs. That said, you can wait and buy FedEx when it's cheaper.

TOP PICK
A capital-lite business with few fixed assets and low capex as they generate a lot of cash. But recently they missed their EBITDA by 5%, largely from their restoration business. They grow by acquisition as well as organically. Managers own a lot of shares. It's a buying opportunity now after that earning miss. (Analysts’ price target is $131.91)
TOP PICK

They have the best content to compete with Netflix and are priced well. There may be some execution risk after buying Fox, but their amusement parks still make up a big chunk of revenues. Also, their brand is unmatched. (Analysts’ price target is $153.71)

TOP PICK
Trades at 19x earnings. They recently enjoyed 22% topline organic revenue growth and stable margins, but they missed the bottom line because they invested a lot of money. They still have a lot of room to grow in online advertising. They have spent $69 billion in the last 5 years in capex and $74 billion in R&D to build a strong moat. The risk is that all these businesses face regulatory risk in the US, but realistically cam the government shut down these massive businesses? (Analysts’ price target is $1456.50)
BUY ON WEAKNESS

The pharma sector. Any picks? Pharma's problem is the US election cycle when candidates always bash big pharma. But these stocks are not expensive now, like JNJ which boasts 3 divisions (consumer, medical devices and pharma); and Novo Nordisk, which offers a diabetes pill and obesity pill. Buy a small position now as well as when they pull back during the election campaign, and certainly after the election. NVO increases its dividend perennially. The Dems and Republicans are equally critical of pharma.