Market Outlook She thinks US earnings met expectations for 15% growth over the year. Dove comments from the FED and improvement in trade relations has allowed for a 15+% recovery in US and Canadian markets since the lows in December. Going forward the market will again need earnings growth to continue rising. She does not see a recession on the horizon, given good employment numbers. The FED announced in early January that further interest rate increases will be driven by market dynamics -- which soothed market concerns that rates would increase regardless. Canadian growth will lag that of the US, because of rising interest rates here causing a cooling of the housing market.
Chartwell vs Sienna She owns Chartwell and thinks both are in a growing sector -- senior housing. Sienna has a lower level of regulation, compared to Chartwell, due to the former's higher level of long term care facilities. Chartwell holds the largest market share in Canada -- giving them economies of scale. Chartwell's yield is just under 4% and they have a good pipeline to develop future growth.
Chartwell vs Sienna She owns Chartwell and thinks both are in a growing sector -- senior housing. Sienna has a lower level of regulation, compared to Chartwell, due to the former's higher level of long term care facilities. Chartwell holds the largest market share in Canada -- giving them economies of scale. Chartwell's yield is just under 4% and they have a good pipeline to develop future growth.
The company has gone through a lot of change and the market has reacted negatively. She got out of it as their satellite business was slowing. They acquired a US digital imaging business and now they are much more leveraged. They also had one of their satellite's recently was lost, which will negatively impact their earnings. A new CEO will be hopeful, but she does not have a good sense of their earnings growth. She wants to wait.
With the recent pullback in price and the regulatory issues still uncertain, she thinks they will need to spend more to resolve these issues. She will watch, but is not a buyer yet. The user base is not growing like it was and the younger users are not going in this direction. She is on the sidelines. (Analysts’ price target is $194.00)
This bus manufacturer also has a service offering as well. There had been fears that a slowdown in the US economy would hurt orders. She does not see a compelling reason to own this as the earnings are not defensible.
Dividend sustainable? She thinks you need to watch that the dividend does not become too high relative to earnings per share, but she does think the yield is sustainable. She holds almost 0% in energy at this time. They started buying Canadian properties, which has caused the market to question that when they hold so many assets in higher priced markets. Yield 9%.
(A Top Pick Feb 13/18, Up 19%) It has some growth with 25% of revenues from renewables. 90% of earnings comes from the US. Pays it dividends in US dollars. She still likes it and calls it a defensive holding. Yield 4.2%.
(A Top Pick Feb 13/18, Up 9%) TD still looks attractively valued with metrics trading below 10 year averages. She expects another 9-10% increase in the dividend and the payout ratio remains around 50%.
(A Top Pick Feb 13/18, Down 6%) The US bank sector took a hit in December and it has not quite recovered entirely yet. This is her play on the US economy and they have the largest holding of US investor holdings. They increased the dividend by 40% last year and the yield exceeds 3%. It trades at 10 times earnings -- below historical norms. Yield 3.1%.
She likes how they make smart acquisitions and know when to sell out for good profits. It has an attractive yield. She owns the parent company as it gives exposure to infrastructure and renewables, allowing for more growth opportunities. This asset offers an investor the best opportunity for income between the two.
The company trades at 12 times earnings, but despite the reasonable metrics, she does not own a lot in the retail brick and mortar space in Canada. The online competition is fierce. She does not see strong growth prospects here.
Time to take profit? She sold it way too early. They are generating great new cash flow. She is not adverse to take profits -- perhaps take out your initial investment. A lot depends on the US market in general. If it pulls back, it would be a good opportunity to buy back in.