WATCH
The stock has really fallen out of bed. It is highly depended on filling seats. You need quality product out of Hollywood and you have not been getting that. It is sequel after sequel instead of new entertainment. It could get interesting but you have to wait and see.
TOP PICK
It is a specialty insurance company. Hardly anyone follows it. A family owns a quarter of it and runs it. They make money on their policies as well as their investments. They raise their dividend every year. They paid a special dividend in December, which they do most years. It is a great buy and hold. (Analysts’ price target is $113.33)
TOP PICK
It is the premier agriculture commodity stock in the world. He likes it because the outlook for potash prices is good. They had a poor fall planting in the Midwest in south and the stock came off but he sees a good spring planting so it will be a good time to buy. (Analysts’ price target is $84.20)
TOP PICK
Previous management lied to shareholders about how well they were doing and was thrown out. The September quarter was a good quarter. They are in the businesses of Canadian aftermarket auto parts, US paint finishing and UK aftermarket auto parts. He thinks they will sell their US paint finishing business. (Analysts’ price target is $25.83)
COMMENT
He's looking at the credit markets. Credit has been weaker than equities all year and has accelerating this week. Until those issues are solved by the US Fed slowing QT, but rather re-adopting QE. This is likely the end of the bull market. The catalyst was the central bank stopping QE. Overall, this has and will reduce M&A with companies becoming less attractive to private equity. Corporate buybacks will slow down, too, and will also stop fuelling the bull market.
BUY
Loves it. Defensive in a down market and recession-proof. Alcohol is a high-cash flow generating business. There's a potential for privatization and for getting into cannabis. CSW has great expertise in getting shelf space in the LCBO, which could benefit the latter
DON'T BUY
Today hit an all-time low. Some believe they will turn around, but their debt is too challenging. He won't buy until they have solved their financial problems--waiting for the upside.
WATCH
7.7% dividend yield. He owns a small position. It's worth looking at. Their balance sheet is fine. A stable business. They did a great job exiting their US business and distributing capital to shareholders. Worth looking at it, definitely.
WATCH
He's watching it. It's likely that money will flow into precious metals. But names like this are highly spectulative. If he'd buy it, it'd be a small position.
SELL
Timber has been a very volatile sector this year. A highly cyclicaly business. Avoid this sector, even though it's been oversold. Sell when this rallies.
DON'T BUY
His kids enjoy their toys, TOY's brands have fallen off quite a bit in the market and the new ones likely won't excite.
DON'T BUY
They've borrowed huge amounts of capital to buy back stock, which hasn't paid off at all. They have a ton of debt maturities coming in the next two years. He feels very negative about the credit market in general, so avoid GE.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 15/18, Down 61%) A small-cap. They did some interesting deals that he liked, including a big phosphate mine off Agrium before their merger--the stock did well for a while. But their Brazil plant ran into trouble. If it is fixed, then it'll be fine.. It's a small-cap with a good balance sheet, really oversold with decent growth prospects. He expects a rebound in January.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 15/18, Down 25%) It's been up-down and done well this. The recent upside is about the online gaming space in the U.S. getting the green light. They will launch their own mobile gaming app--keep an eye on thhis. He likes management which owns a lot of stock--a good sign. He's long this stock.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 15/18, Down 54%) He's still long this. It's a top pick tonight, so he'll discuss it then.