Today, Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA and Benj Gallander commented about whether INOD-Q, RET.A-T, OBE-T, TA-T, EXE-T, K-T, RAD-N, TRP-T, ACB-T, SLF-T, ASR-T, CET-T, QTRH-T, MFC-T, GGI-X, PGF-T, LB-T, GMP-T, HLF-T, ECI-T, HEJ-T, ECA-T, ZWE-T, BCE-T, RCI.B-T, T-T, ZGD-T, ZWB-T, ZWU-T, ZWE-T are stocks to buy or sell.
It has an option overlay. He likes this. It is like ZWE-T but with other parts of international markets. There are great dividend paying companies in Japan. You have to be careful of currency exposure but this one is currency hedged. It gives you some diversification. He does not know this ETF that well but gives it a thumbs up.
Educational Segment. Political polarization. In the long term it will start to weight on markets. He looks at the risk side of the equation before looking at potential returns. Governments slapped the world with a massive amount of debt after the financial crisis. We have a credit crisis coming, but you can't time when. The math does not work. Governments have to work on balancing the books. He thinks the US lower house will move to the impeachment of Trump next year and that the house will be democrat controlled after the election (6 in 7 chance).
Market. The market will go down at least 20% before the end of 2020. He is not sure if this is the first part of the fall. He still holds to his prediction. It would be a bear market. The problem in the US is that what Donald did was short term and now the debt has continued to go up. He believes Italy will have major problems at some point. We may be in worse shape than in 2008.
Market. The Chinese government has floated the idea of lower personal tax rates. Trump talked of another tax cut for the middle class over the weekend. They should have a deal before the US election. You are going to see a lot of increased market volatility due to trade issues with China. You can ignore one or two but going into the first quarter of next year there is a good case for more volatility. The BOC is talking about raising rates. They are going to gradually raise rates, they indicate. If the US raises rates 4 times in the next year he thinks Canada will do so less. There is no reason why they will not raise interest rates this week.