Today, Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA and Zachary Curry commented about whether KEY-T, BIP.UN-T, JPM-N, GOOG-Q, ENB-T, PLC-T, EMA-T, DOL-T, CRM-N, NTR-T, ACN-N, ALA-T, AAPL-Q, GOOS-T, KEL-T, ACN-N, WM-N, MG-T, META-Q, SHOP-T, VUN-T, ZWC-T, XDV-T, GOOS-T, ZWU-T are stocks to buy or sell.
Educational Segment. Currencies matter. Trade deals impact currencies. After 1970 the US went off the gold standard and floated more freely. In Canada/US, the average annual change is 5.39%. Most years, currency is the single biggest item that defines your returns. We are much weaker against the US dollar than we were in the '70s. Against Germany, 70% of the return between Germany and the US was the currency. ETFs allow us to hedge or not hedge and that is another reason he loves them.
Market. It seems like it is pretty definitive regarding the US/Mexico deal and the real question is if Canada will be part of it or will it be a separate deal. The Canadian dollar has come up a bit and the markets are where they were before the deal. It is a limited market reaction and that is a positive sign. He sees some catch-up trade in Canada as the US has done so well. He has been moving money into the US since 2013. It has been a bit of a safe haven from a Canadian dollar point of view. The US is still a favourable place to invest. Within Canada he would not change any weightings. The biggest risk is the dollar.
He says it is a hold because of the regulatory environment. There is not another option for small businesses to go to to advertize because of the number of users. If they can keep chipping away at the revenue per user, it will be positive. There could be some regulatory pressures as we head into mid-term elections.
A lot of its operations are in the US and in Mexico. In the next 1 to 2 years it is going to be a volatile name in his view. Over the longer time it is a very well run company. Overall car sales have been at record levels recently. This is the first treason to cause some volatility. They are becoming an outsourcing company where car manufacturers approach them to build more and more of their car content. He is not ready to pull the trigger right now during trade negotiations, however.
Market. NAFTA news could come quite soon. It is good news. If we get to trade agreements before they escalate that is good news. Trade between China and the US could take a long time to solve, however. Any deal Canada does for dairy will have to include a schedule where supply management gets unwound over a number of years. Next October there will probably be a federal election so Trudeau is under pressure. It is more noise than anything else, however. The markets have taken a bit of a notch off of rate hike expectations for November.