DON'T BUY

It’s a big tech stock with no earnings. He doesn’t know that much about the stock. It takes a long time for companies like this to make money, if they ever do, The investor has to decide whether this particular one is likely to become profitable. There’s a lot of competition. The stock hasn’t done well since it has gone public. He trusts the market.

BUY

He loves this stock. It moved up a while ago and keeps firing on all cylinders. He read a research report recently that indicated an upside of $27--assuming the demand for cars stays strong.

HOLD

ACB paid a premium to the market price, hoping that it will become a distributor. That has not happened yet. The market price has not risen to the price ACB paid. This company is a former income trust. Like all other income trusts, they neglected their CAPEX. Their starting to do maintenance on their stores now, making them look better. The new management team will spend a lot of money on this. It will be messy for several quarters. Longer term, after they clean up their stores and the Alberta economy picks up again, will be a good holding. The dividend is not high enough to make the stock exciting for investors while they wait, so he doesn’t own it, but if he did own it, he wouldn’t be in a rush to sell it. If they do start to distribute marijuana, the stock will pop.

WAIT

Done right, furniture is a great business. Most of them are private because they generate so much cash that they don’t need to go public. Leon’s is one of the best furniture businesses in the country. However, the furniture business is cyclical with the housing market. To the extent that housing purchases or renovations might slow down, this company will suffer. At this time, investors should wait to buy it later. It is a great business, but the cycle is turning.

COMMENT

Blockchain sector The price of BitCoin seems to dictate the level of interest in blockchain. However, they are very different things. He does not own cryptocurrencies and will not in the future. He thinks they are a waste of money. He thinks the technology behind it is very interesting and he has small positions in some of the technology companies. The big players like Amazon and IBM will create big blockchain-based systems for big companies, but some of the small companies might pay off well in a few years.

WAIT

He would not buy it at this price because the Alberta economy is not yet recovering. There is some infrastructure spending underway now, but that will eventually peter out and sales of pickup trucks will slow down. ACQ makes its biggest money on expensive pickup trucks and associated insurance; there isn’t enough money to afford many new ones. There is a large supply of used pickup trucks that hurt the market for new truck sales.

COMMENT

This has one of the best charts that he’s seen in a long time. He believes that companies that hit new 52-week highs keep hitting new ones. The valuation is not a bargain, but people will buy expensive stocks if they like the story. He doesn’t own it but wishes he did. He wouldn’t buy it now because he feels like he missed the right time to buy when he sees a chart like this. Buying now might be a good idea, but he can’t bring himself to do it.

DON'T BUY

He used to own this. The CEO he knew suddenly and abruptly resigned. They brought a new CEO but then there were reimbursement problems. Their balance sheet is not pristine. Centric doesn’t look like a quick fix.

COMMENT

He loves the management team and used to own a lot more of this stock. It has proved very difficult to generate results from this type of app. In the short term, they have a lot of problems to fix.

COMMENT

They should be doing well. Interest rates are creeping higher, which should be good for them. However, they are facing higher capital requirements, which raises some concerns. This is probably what is depressing the stock price. The stock pays a decent dividend so he doesn’t mind waiting until they fix their capital structure.(Analysts’ price target is 30$)

COMMENT

This company has had a hard time with aggressive short sellers. They have responded with insider buying and by raising the dividend. This is a conglomerate. They have some good businesses, but he always gets nervous with companies that acquire other businesses. He’s not nervous about the short sellers, thinks they’ve been proven wrong. The yield is quite generous, over 7%, but this is a hard company to analyze because it has so many moving parts.

COMMENT

He used to own this, got tired of them constantly raising money whenever the stock price went up. The balance sheet is healthy, the payout ratio is good, and the dividend is very generous (8.3%). He thinks several investors got sick of it recently, and that’s why the price has dropped.

DON'T BUY

Newell did a big acquisition that hasn’t helped it. People are losing faith in brands and that is a serious threat to Newell’s business model.

TOP PICK

This company’s loan business has grown so fast that this has dwarfed the rest of their business. They funded themselves with debt that they can continue to lend out for the next couple of years. He thinks the multiple is too low, that the market is not giving them enough credit for their success. The fear is that in a downturn, they will have huge provisions for losses, but he thinks they didn’t lose money during the credit crisis, so this fear is overblown. They control their book well. The stock price is volatile, so be ready for that. (Analysts’ price target is 49.20$)

TOP PICK

Retail investors can’t buy commodity futures themselves. An ETF like this one can give retail investors access to the pure commodity space. He thinks commodities are poised to do well, and this is a way to ride the set of them. Investors will not get the leverage that they would get from buying the stock. If oil prices go up 10%, some oil companies will go up 20%. Investors will see the 10%, not the 20%. They also won’t get the risk.