Opinions
Fabrice Taylor
Alcanna
CLIQ-T
HOLD
May 08, 2018
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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It was an income trust, and so they distrbitued too much money and didn't keep enough cash to refurbish their stores and stay competitive. That hurt, then they the oil price fell (they're based in Alberta), then they made some dumb acquisitions. Aurora Cannabis and the Bitove family have since invested. They've cut prices to wipe out competition, then bought that competition--twice. This has worked. Eventually, they will raise prices now that they've wiped out those competitors. Alberta law limits other liquor stores within a certain radius from existing shops, so they have a moat. And they're getting into cannabis. This stock is starting to move. (Analysts’ price target is $8.05)
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. No longer backed by Aurora. Multiple attempts to redesign stores. Multiple products sold at steep discounts. Deteriorating margins. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
ACB paid a premium to the market price, hoping that it will become a distributor. That has not happened yet. The market price has not risen to the price ACB paid. This company is a former income trust. Like all other income trusts, they neglected their CAPEX. Their starting to do maintenance on their stores now, making them look better. The new management team will spend a lot of money on this. It will be messy for several quarters. Longer term, after they clean up their stores and the Alberta economy picks up again, will be a good holding. The dividend is not high enough to make the stock exciting for investors while they wait, so he doesn’t own it, but if he did own it, he wouldn’t be in a rush to sell it. If they do start to distribute marijuana, the stock will pop.