Today, Stan Wong and Jeff Parent B. Eng. FCSI CIM commented about whether QSR-T, FDX-N, BABA-N, MU-Q, AIA-Q, VA-T, MGM-N, SLF-T, C-N, GOOS-T, RYN-N, HCP-N, OLED-Q, PBH-T, TV-T, YRI-T, EMA-T, VNQ-N, JET-X, CYB-T, CELG-Q, CVS-N, KEL-T, TSGI-T, CF-T, ZWE-T, LITE-Q, XOM-N, L-T, VGT-N, BCE-T, SHOP-T, KHC-Q, PFE-N, REI.UN-T, V-N, BAC-N, TCEHY-OTC, NFLX-Q are stocks to buy or sell.
We're seeing elevated turbulence in the past few weeks, a huge change from the start of the year. Investors are dealing with tigher monetrary policy and inflation pressure. In Canada, we must be cautious due to the NAFTA overhang, high debt levels and minimum wage issues in some provinces, which is why we are lagging other markets. He likes the U.S, Asian, parts of Europe and emerging markets. There's optimism outside Canada. He sees it in
strengthening data, fiscal stimulus and a tax package in the U.S. Earnings season is basically over and most companies beat. That said, there will be more volatility going forward this year. Buy the dips. Hopes that Trump is merely posturing with his tariff threats.
Likes it technically, probably overbought now though. Expects more subscribers this year globally, but worries about weakened profitability. Content spending has jumped to $8 billion so they're burning money, and there's more competition coming, particularly from Disney. Valuation and PE are too rich for him. They should continue making their own content to attract subscribers.
The fourth-largest internet company in the word, based in China. The penetration rate in China is half that of the US, so there's lots of runway for growth. They're into gaming and messaging and e-commerce. He continues to like and hold it. Transparency for Chinese companies was a concern 10 years ago, but not today.
Trading at 27x forward earnings. Loves Visa. Its secular growth is fuelled by increasing consumer spending around the world. Plastic payments will continue to overtake cash. A sunny long term here. Apple Pay, for instance, are partnering with cmpanies like Visa, so Visa will benefit from (and not be threatened by) e-payments.
The stock has done very well, but it's extremely rich--a risky valuation. There are cheaper, less risky tech stocks out there. Possibly, Amazon or somebody can just copy what they're doing. Also, he's worried that a lot of money is being invested here merely because it's the lone Canadian tech stock (not counting Blackberry).
Just hit an all-time high today. He loves the tech space, but prefers buying the individual names as a general investing strategy. This ETF is fine and will do well going forward. Caution: the tech trade may become volatile and it's already getting crowded. VGT is all U.S. holdings, so it's better to look overseas, particularly Asia.
Market. He thinks the market is at a decision point. The market has retraced and is in a consolidation. The rising trend might continue after a consolidation or reverse. We don’t know yet which way it will go. A lot of money has been invested recently. The December rally looks like desperation investing, which is common near the top of a bull market. The market statistics are dominated by the FAANG stocks because they are the 5 biggest companies. In Canada, energy stocks will continue to hold back the TSX because they are so heavily weighted. There will be good trading opportunities, but you have to be very cautious in investing in these. Rex Tillerson was fired today--he expects this to introduce short-term volatility and that generally, political events have a short impact on the market.
From a technical perspective, the stock looks bad. It has had a big fall-off. Going from $88 to $76 is a big drop for a stock like this. There is some buying support, the yield is not bad, but he would recommend caution and a tight stop, perhaps $72 and would not expect a near-term rise higher than $78. There is probably going to be a period of consolidation.
The caller asked for an evaluation of Lumentum in the context of its acquisition of Oclaro (OCLR-O). He says that this stock’s chart looks terrific. It shows a lot of momentum, good earnings growth momentum, the stock shows a lot of volume on its upside breakout. He can see this going to $80 quickly and expects it to do well over a 3-to-6-month time frame. However, you should set an exit point for every trade. For this stock, he recommends that you start reducing if it drops to $65 and get completely out if it reaches $60. He would also reduce if it pulls back below its 20-day moving average.