Latest Expert Opinions

Signal
Opinion
Expert
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 9, 2017

Preferred C. This will reset at the 5 year Canada rate, around 3.75%. Why is it at $18, instead of $25, which would normally be the issuance value? 5-6 years ago, the rage was Reset Preferreds because rates were low and if rates went up, there would be a higher yield when it reset. Instead of going up though, rates fell. Therefore at reset, at 3.75% over our Canada 5 year of about 80 basis points, it is going to be reset with a 4.5% yield. The risk doesn’t necessarily correspond with a 4.5% yield that you would get on other safer preferreds. The market doesn’t like that, so it is not going to pay you for value. As long as interest rates stay low, it is a great thing for the issuer because it is a cheap preferred. Unfortunately, it will trade at around $18 for a while.

Preferred C. This will reset at the 5 year Canada rate, around 3.75%. Why is it at $18, instead of $25, which would normally be the issuance value? 5-6 years ago, the rage was Reset Preferreds because rates were low and if rates went up, there would be a higher yield when it reset. Instead of going up though, rates fell. Therefore at reset, at 3.75% over our Canada 5 year of about 80 basis points, it is going to be reset with a 4.5% yield. The risk doesn’t necessarily correspond with a 4.5% yield that you would get on other safer preferreds. The market doesn’t like that, so it is not going to pay you for value. As long as interest rates stay low, it is a great thing for the issuer because it is a cheap preferred. Unfortunately, it will trade at around $18 for a while.

Lyle Stein
Sr. Portfolio & Managing Director, Vestcap Investment Management
Price
$4.540
Owned
Unknown
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 9, 2017

Regarding their US acquisition, they’ve gone at it 3 times saying this is the last offer. The US banks rallied, and the Canadian banks did not. He hopes they don’t jump their offer once again.

Regarding their US acquisition, they’ve gone at it 3 times saying this is the last offer. The US banks rallied, and the Canadian banks did not. He hopes they don’t jump their offer once again.

Lyle Stein
Sr. Portfolio & Managing Director, Vestcap Investment Management
Price
$108.360
Owned
Yes
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 9, 2017

If rates go up, typically utilities underperform. However, if rates are going up because of inflationary pressures, regulators typically raise the rate of return on the underlying assets. They have a big acquisition in the US which left them in good stead. They’ve done a good job in growing dividends and this is a good kind of core holding.

If rates go up, typically utilities underperform. However, if rates are going up because of inflationary pressures, regulators typically raise the rate of return on the underlying assets. They have a big acquisition in the US which left them in good stead. They’ve done a good job in growing dividends and this is a good kind of core holding.

Lyle Stein
Sr. Portfolio & Managing Director, Vestcap Investment Management
Price
$44.190
Owned
No
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 9, 2017

This has been quite active in acquisitions. They bought Washington Gas & Light company in the DC area, as a big foray into the US. They feel it provides them with some unique diversification, as well as a kind of rollup capacity in the market. It is going to be a “show me” story, and is going to take a long time. In the meantime, they’ve suffered with the oil/gas patch in general. It’s quite exposed to gas in its midstream operations. He believes the 6% dividend is safe. It probably won’t be growing as quickly as it has, because they have to absorb the WGL assets. They successfully raised capital. Thinks they are in OK shape, but doesn’t feel this is the best place to be in that space right now. Prefers others.

This has been quite active in acquisitions. They bought Washington Gas & Light company in the DC area, as a big foray into the US. They feel it provides them with some unique diversification, as well as a kind of rollup capacity in the market. It is going to be a “show me” story, and is going to take a long time. In the meantime, they’ve suffered with the oil/gas patch in general. It’s quite exposed to gas in its midstream operations. He believes the 6% dividend is safe. It probably won’t be growing as quickly as it has, because they have to absorb the WGL assets. They successfully raised capital. Thinks they are in OK shape, but doesn’t feel this is the best place to be in that space right now. Prefers others.

Lyle Stein
Sr. Portfolio & Managing Director, Vestcap Investment Management
Price
$31.230
Owned
No
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 9, 2017

He owns this for 2 reasons. It began as a hotel for railroads. 1. It has some nice growth potential as they roll up smaller hotels in and across the US. 2. He likes its real estate outside of Canada, so you get exposure of the real estate sector, without having assets tied up in Canada. If the Cdn$ goes down, he has an asset that appreciates in value.

He owns this for 2 reasons. It began as a hotel for railroads. 1. It has some nice growth potential as they roll up smaller hotels in and across the US. 2. He likes its real estate outside of Canada, so you get exposure of the real estate sector, without having assets tied up in Canada. If the Cdn$ goes down, he has an asset that appreciates in value.

Lyle Stein
Sr. Portfolio & Managing Director, Vestcap Investment Management
Price
$10.780
Owned
Yes
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 9, 2017

This as not an investable name. They borrowed money to make a UK acquisition and are having issues with that.

This as not an investable name. They borrowed money to make a UK acquisition and are having issues with that.

Lyle Stein
Sr. Portfolio & Managing Director, Vestcap Investment Management
Price
$2.850
Owned
No
WAIT
WAIT
May 9, 2017

A core holding for him, but wouldn’t buy it today. Has had a really, really nice move. It’s been a great portfolio investment, but it is now getting a little toppy. The RSI (relative strength indicator) shows a sense of enthusiasm. As it ran up to the mid-$60s, enthusiasm got quite high. He’d like to see that wane before he took another position. Great yield.

BCE Inc. (BCE-T)
May 9, 2017

A core holding for him, but wouldn’t buy it today. Has had a really, really nice move. It’s been a great portfolio investment, but it is now getting a little toppy. The RSI (relative strength indicator) shows a sense of enthusiasm. As it ran up to the mid-$60s, enthusiasm got quite high. He’d like to see that wane before he took another position. Great yield.

Lyle Stein
Sr. Portfolio & Managing Director, Vestcap Investment Management
Price
$61.880
Owned
Yes