Today, Steve Belisle and Christine Poole commented about whether DIS-N, HD-N, L-T, FFH-T, CP-T, CCL.B-T, U-T, PWF-T, YUM-N, ECA-T, MG-T, EMA-T, MFC-T, AAPL-Q, JNJ-N, GIB.A-T, CGX-T, ENF-T, CVX-N, CM-T, ABT-N, TD-T, FTS-T, POT-T, BYD-T, MST.UN-T, EFN-T, CPG-T, MIC-T, IPL-T, GE-N, CGX-T, MSI-T, BCE-T, BIP.UN-T, AMT-N, AQN-T, BAC-N, D.UN-T, POT-T, MG-T, H-T, ESI-T, AP.UN-T, ATD.B-T, PKI-T, CCL.B-T are stocks to buy or sell.
Thinks the dividend is pretty safe, and is probably going to continue to grow over the next few years. This has very strong visibility and stability of their cash flows. 95%-99% of their annual revenues are recurring year-to-year. They are now growing in the US, so they are getting traction. The state of Illinois has just become a new customer. They keep making acquisitions to add to their cash flow and earnings. He definitely likes this. 4.5% dividend yield, which he thinks will grow nicely.
Not as cheap as it used to be. Has been a core holding for him for many years. It had a very good rally along with many other consumer stocks, so it is getting a little bit pricey, but the business is doing well. Had a great year with Star Wars. They keep finding ways to grow revenue outside of the box office. They are also growing a pretty nice media business as well. 3.2% dividend yield.
The dividend on this is definitely safe. A good company with a solid asset base. He would qualify this as a Hold as the valuation is up there. The problem is that their growth outlook is probably the lowest it has been in many years. They may do more acquisitions in Europe, but other than that it is getting tougher for them to generate more growth.
A value stock, but that has been the case for many years, and has been somewhat of a value trap despite management’s decent execution. This is not a growth business anymore. If you are concerned about Canadian real estate, this is definitely a name to be concerned about. As well, they have exposure to Western Canada, and how that is going to impact their results. 5.1% dividend yield should be safe.
Likes the value they are going to unplug by splitting the company in 2. They will be a fleet business and an asset management business in September. They will disclose the pro forma numbers in August. Last quarter management guided that the fleet business will earn about $1.12, but could actually be $1.10. If you use a 15 or 16 time multiple, this is what the stock currently is at. Even if you don’t like the commercial side of the business, it is probably worth at least $3, so you can easily get to $20 and above on a valuation. After the split, they will materially increase the dividend. Dividend yield of 0.68%.
All their properties are in high job growth markets in the US. In the US, job creation is mostly in low wage service jobs, and people are looking for a place to live, but house prices have increased quite a bit. That is driving a lot of demand for properties, and this company’s average rent is about $900 a month, quite affordable and very good quality locations. They have been able to derive rent growth at about 6% in the past few years, and looking forward he thinks that is what they will do, deriving pretty good cash flow growth. Dividend yield of 3.86%.
Auto repair/collision repair shops. Growing mostly in the US. Insurance companies want to deal with fewer suppliers, especially for collision repairs, and this company is able to offer them lower costs, faster service and more standardized service. That is why they are getting market share with insurance companies, and that is driving structural growth. Miles driven has increased in the US which is resulting in more collisions. They are supplementing their organic growth with more acquisitions. The market is very fragmented in the US. Dividend yield of 0.69%.
Market. The Fed has June on the table for a rate hike, and the market is not anticipating that. They came off sounding quite hawkish that things were improving and a hike would happen if the economic conditions warranted it. Once again they are focusing on employment and inflation. Employment growth remains healthy in the US. Inflation is still within their targeted range. Because it is data dependent, there is a heightened sensitivity to any economic data that is released between now and next month. Her longer-term thesis is that the US economy continues to grow at a 2%-2.5% pace. She always thought the pace of the US Fed was going to be quite moderate and well telecast, and she doesn’t see a sharp spike in inflation, so expects it will be a slow, gradual entry. Canadian banks have underperformed and are very attractively priced right now. The energy play is still on the table and you still want exposure there, preferably through some of the infrastructure and pipeline stocks as a more defensive way to play it. If the US$ strengthens, it will be negative for gold. Gold stocks are up significantly more than the commodity, and if an investor wanted some exposure, she would go with the actual commodity.
This has come back quite a bit because potash prices have been very weak. If you have a very long-term view, you could probably Hold this. We could arguably be near the lows. There has been weaker demand, and potash is priced in US$, which makes these products more expensive, especially for emerging countries. Yielding about 6% and there is a question whether they can sustain the dividend.
Has very nice US exposure, and she is more positive on the US economy versus Canadian. All banks have given disclosure on their energy book. Provisions are going up a bit, and thinks they are manageable. Expects to see a slow recovery in the Canadian economy. For a new client, she would start building a position in this.
Emerging markets represents about 40% of their earnings. Have a very strong branded generic division and a lot of that is in the emerging-market, so currency has been a huge head wind for them. Also, have a leading adult and infant nutritional business as well as medical devices. There was some concern that the medical device area was not growing as fast as some of their other businesses. Management is quite competent they can get things improving.
The issue with the telco industry at this stage is that you have a new entrant on the wireless side coming in. You are also facing a lot of pressure on the cable side with the people going over the top, etc. The industry is facing some serious headwinds. He has been reducing his exposure to the sector. However, if you have to be in this sector and you want very low risk, this is probably the name to have. They have a decent strategy and are deriving very visible and stable growth. The dividend will continue to grow at a slow pace, but you have good visibility on it.