At this time of year, this tends to be kind of flat, but starts moving higher right around August, and spikes right through until October. That’s the time when unusual events start to happen. As you get further into the summer, look for the possibility of taking some money off the table. What could affect it this year, is if the Fed decides to bump up interest rates. Of greater importance is the possibility of some sort of a negative situation happening with the US presidential election. As we get into September/October, that is the time when the market has a history of doing very, very poorly because of uncertainties of what is happening. Uncertainties are caused by negative advertising, so this year look out, as the Supreme Court said super PACs can spend as much money as they want on the election. That means that in September/October things are going to get brutal.
This has very strong seasonality. Normally from around the end of January to the end of May the stock has gone up. Recently the stock has been going sideways, and slightly underperforming the market. We are getting close to the end of May and the technicals are starting to roll over a little. There are better opportunities to invest in other than this one. You want to sell into strength in the next couple of weeks.
He doesn’t do seasonality on this stock. Technically the charts are not looking too good. It is in a downward trend, has been underperforming the market, and its momentum indicators are on the downside. The only hope is that the stock might be trying to bottom out at these levels, but you don’t want to own the stock because it is bottoming out.
(A Top Pick April 12/16. Down 1.84%.) This was actually too early to make the trade, but it turns out the technology sector, just during the last few days, is finally starting to show outperformance relative to the market, so now is the time to start buying this. Also, if you own it, continue to Hold. This particular ETF is very attractive right through to the middle of July.
Airline stocks have a tendency to be volatile. There is some seasonality in the spring time and you get a time in the summer when the stock does well. Looking at the charts, he does not see a seasonal pattern. Technically the chart shows it is forming a nice little base and is in a very tight trading range. One thing that is positive is that it is trading near the bottom of its trading range. If it holds the low of around $38, that is going to be a good sign. If it moves above the $60 level, you are going to see another move to the upside. Nothing special here. You want to be in stocks that are outperforming, and this is not in that category.
This has a tendency to move higher in the summer, like most food stocks. We are in a period of seasonal strength right now. Technically, the stock has been trading in a range, and after close to a year it has finally broken above its trading range. It has the potential of an upside to the $16 level. This is a good investment right now.
Looking at the charts, what can’t you love about this stock? It just consistently goes higher, and recently went into an all-time high. It is outperforming the market and is in an upward trend. However, it hasn’t been around long enough to do a seasonal analysis. You normally need 20 years of data for seasonal analysis.
A typical defence stock, and the kind that normally does very well from October to May of each year. Technically it has just broken through new highs which is encouraging. When stocks get close to the end of their seasonal strength, such as this one, he would stick with it as long as it is outperforming the market and has an upward trend.
Seasonally, gold has strength from the middle of July until the end of September, and from around the middle of December until February. This stock has gone into a parabolic curve which is not related to seasonality. Technically you have to love the stock. It is in a definite upward trend and has broken through to new highs.