Markets. Syria is a small part of resources. Oil prices have more to do with fundamentals. Syria is a Cherry on top. Likes Europe’s pickup in PMIs. China oil demand over the summer is up 5% and they are replenishing their strategic reserves. There is underlying demand. Weakness in fertilizer based in waiting for debate in Russia to conclude. In India the wedding season is getting ready. For gold the seasonal trade has passed. Gold is an emotional commodity. Crude oil is pretty strong right now. You have to look at differentials. There were hopes earlier in the year of Nat Gas rolling over in the US. There was a small increase in production last year. There is a switch from coal to gas. The rigs are being more efficient so the rigs are not rolling over. It could lead to strength in price. They will make a lot of money on the liquids side.
He would wait for a recovery at this point. They have done the right thing in the last couple of years. Good production growth over the next couple of years. Comfortable with the name. Any acquisition will be accretive. Low political risk. Happy to hold on to it. They could cut the dividend depending on gold prices. Would be surprised if they raised it.
Be a half to a third in Canada. Favours energy over materials and fundamentals are better in oil over metals. LNG long term is attractive.