Very good story. Management is very focused on costs and returning capital. Quarter after quarter they have been beating and exceeding expectations. If there were a yield play she would want in the smaller cap space, it would be this one. The only knock against it is that it is currently yielding about 6.5%, which is lower than Crescent Point (CPG-T). With oil coming down, it might be a buy at a slightly lower level but you could pick some up at this point and by more as time goes on..
(A Top Pick June 11/12. Down 30.9%.) Sold her holdings. Had some restarting issues and some Québec issues about developing in the high-grade area.. She thinks a lot of that is behind them. Very cheap at this level. In the gold space, she is very selective and this is one of a higher cost producers. If you own, consider moving over to Yamana (YRI-T), a low-cost producer and a much more sustainable model.
A lumber company that is playing the laggard. Feels the lumber story is still in the 1st and 2nd innings and has a long ways to go. Through this downturn, a lot of the lumber stocks have recapitalized their plants and this company did the same for one of their plants so production output, as well as costs, is moving in the right direction. Margins should improve and expects them to have positive cash flows this year. Trading 2 or 3 points below their peers.
Commodities. Expects fairly flat growth in global economies. Supply/demand in copper is balanced this year so copper as well as oil are trading within their ranges. Expects copper to trade between $3.20 and $3.80 this year and oil from $80 to $90. Until we see stronger growth and stronger demand coming for these commodities, will probably see them trading around these ranges. Expects commodities to have a fairly tight situation for 2-3 years. In the juniors, a lot of stocks have pricing at very low valuation. On the producers’ side in the copper space, consensus is still too high. She’ll be looking for lower levels before stepping in.