Alpha and Beta stocks? Beta means how an individual stock consistently moves relative to the market. If the market goes up 20%, they go up 25%. If the market drops 20%, they’ll go down 25%. If you are bullish, you put a lot of high Beta stocks into your portfolio. Beta is a number relative to 1 with 1 being in line with the market. Alpha is about an individual stock irrespective of the market. Can this company grow irrespective of the market?
Has had a rough year. Sold his holdings this summer when management was talking less bullishly about their outlook. New management has focused a little bit more on cost reductions, more possible growth. They still have a great international portfolio of projects. Thinks it is worth more split up then it is as an entity right now.
Nothing wrong with this here. Earnings growth is slowing down and valuations are back at the high end of the range again. Doesn’t see that much short-term upside. He’d be more inclined to add something from the US such as Citibank (C-N), J.P. Morgan (JPM-N) or BankAmerica (BA-N). These have way more potential upside.
Looks at where China stands in their development of projects and looking within the pipeline for the next number of years, he sees demand going higher. There is a tightness of supply. Great growth profile. Going to 12 million pounds over the next year. Thinks there is a large player liquidating the position, which has held the lid on the stock. If you start to get through the supply as it disappears, at some point this thing could really pop.
Gold stocks are cheap relative to gold bullion. Thinks that gold can probably get through $2000. As you depreciate currencies, gold goes higher by default. Valuation is as cheap as he has ever seen it. Good variety of properties. Well diversified. New management is talking a better story in terms of cost management, cost reductions, managing their growth profile.
Trading at only 7-8 times forward earnings. Obviously the risk is that the C series has problems but he is betting that it gets off the ground. The recent orders they picked up from Delta and an unknown overseas name, are positive. The private jet division continues to do well. Doesn’t have a major debt repayment until 2016.
He is one of the few bears on this stock. You are paying about 22X forward earnings for single digit growth. If he owned it he would be selling it.