Sr. VP Fixed Income at Natcan Investment Management
Member since: Aug '10 · 38 Opinions
This is the ultra-short long treasuries, which is basically a levered product. With this one you are betting against the Fed which recently announced they are going to be buying 10-30 year bonds until the economy improves. You will have a buyer against you for a long time, however if the economy succeeds, the yield should increase. You have the time against you so you have to be careful. Wait until you see growth rates really pick up in manufacturing, consumers and housing.
How can we expect a Canadian Bond Index Fund to perform looking out to 2015 with interest rates staying low? Bernanke stated he would keep interest rates at 0 for the next 3-4 years and that he would try to keep the curve flat so it is hard to see rates rising significantly. The place to be in this scenario would probably be in credit.
Corporate bonds. With the ECB announcing that they would be buying bonds from countries such as Italy and Spain and also the US Fed with QE 3, he could say riskier assets have performed very well and obviously high-yield had a very good ride. Short-term, he is taking profit right now. His long-term view is that you want to capture the credit spread that companies are paying vesters (?). Generally, corporations have strong balance sheets, good cash flows and they don’t have short-term maturities.