Sr. VP Fixed Income at Natcan Investment Management
Member since: Aug '10 · 38 Opinions
This is the ultra-short long treasuries, which is basically a levered product. With this one you are betting against the Fed which recently announced they are going to be buying 10-30 year bonds until the economy improves. You will have a buyer against you for a long time, however if the economy succeeds, the yield should increase. You have the time against you so you have to be careful. Wait until you see growth rates really pick up in manufacturing, consumers and housing.
How can we expect a Canadian Bond Index Fund to perform looking out to 2015 with interest rates staying low? Bernanke stated he would keep interest rates at 0 for the next 3-4 years and that he would try to keep the curve flat so it is hard to see rates rising significantly. The place to be in this scenario would probably be in credit.
Bonds. Based on the restructuring proposal, which will be settled on October 15, the bonds are trading at $.60 to the $1.00 and seem to be fully valued. If the restructuring does not occur, he could see more downside to it.
10-year bond ladders. Do you agree with this strategy? A laddered portfolio makes sense. The key is to have a diversified portfolio to spread the risks.
This is a short-term, 1 to 5 year corporate bond ETF. Relatively diversified. Sensitivity to interest rates remains high. Good investment.
Regarding government bonds, the risk of rates being so low, he would try to avoid them.
Just did an issue, 6.75%- Oct/20. Rated high-yield. Lending to gold producers, you want to make sure they have diversified mines as well as being low cost producers. This company could eventually get taken over.
(A Top Pick Sept 16/11. Up 11.79%.) From a regulatory standpoint, brokers cannot take on as much risk as before. From a debt standpoint this is good. He is taking profit right now but longer-term he is still comfortable with the name
4.6% bonds maturing 2015. This is a company that is relatively new to the bond market. Have grown a lot more than what the market was expecting. Current spreads of 250 basis points for a 3-year paper is a lot wider than its peer group. Expect these bonds to perform well over the next 3 years.
4.54% bonds maturing 2023. You are lending to a holding company but they are hard asset investments, diversified over North and South America and Europe. At a spread of 233 basis points for 10-years there is a decent pickup for the risk.
5.95% bonds maturing 2036. He bought these at $.63 on the dollar. Feels the risk/reward is pretty good.
Corporate bonds. With the ECB announcing that they would be buying bonds from countries such as Italy and Spain and also the US Fed with QE 3, he could say riskier assets have performed very well and obviously high-yield had a very good ride. Short-term, he is taking profit right now. His long-term view is that you want to capture the credit spread that companies are paying vesters (?). Generally, corporations have strong balance sheets, good cash flows and they don’t have short-term maturities.