
Co-Chief Investment Officer at Davis Rea
Member since: Jul '09 · 4426 Opinions
Exactly. A lot of the industrial names that supply the data centre buildout have pulled back on fears that the buildout will slow, product demand won't be as great, and profits will suffer.
Pullback is healthy, as a lot of those names were trading at very high multiples.
Peaked out in July, now 45% off highs. The classic cyclical. Data centre buildout will change this to secular growth. Pulled back when pace of AI buildout came into question.
Multiple's now more reasonable, ~22x forward PE. Huge backlog, no cancellations so far. Will generate a lot of FCF. If demand fades, earnings will eventually roll over.
Missed a few quarters, municipal funding issues on horizon. Benefited from renewable theme when Democrats were in power, but that faded. At $150, high multiple.
Believes in water long term -- scarce resource, EMs need to build out their infrastructure, developed countries need to modernize and repair.
Feeling impact of lower- and middle-income consumer; value menu tweaks will take time. Traffic is soft. US economy is K-shaped. Helping frachisees upgrade restaurants. Sees room to grow its chicken market, but equipment needs to be retooled.
Still likes it. Economies of scale, synergies, gets rent from many franchisees (a recurring cashflow stream).
Diagnostic testing that did so well during Covid declined, and other segments weren't strong enough to offset that. Largely behind them, but now issues in nutrition business.
Lawsuits regarding infant formula, many being settled out of court. Plans to spin off that segment next year.
Good pipeline, M&A continues. Valuation's pulled back. Yield is 2%.