A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert (A Commentary)

Market. He has been surprised by the strength of this rally amid economic gloom. The question is if the Fed can get people back to work. It is probably going to be a slow return to work and a show recovery. There is the tech stocks, the mega caps. But some mid-cap stocks are down 30% on the year. If the market is correct and we will get back to work quicker than we think then there is opportunity here.

If you have cash for 90 days, If you have cash for 90 days, there is no substitute for just leaving it in cash.

Gold and Silver have been reaching recent highs – forecast? He does not actually buy or short gold stocks. They are quite volatile. They have an emotional component or a currency component to them. He is coming around to owning gold for individuals who want to own it because of the massive central bank stimulus. This is one of the only assets that can stand in in a deflationary environment.

Renewable Energy – Which is the better choice? NPI-T is the one he would prefer. A lot of money is moving out of traditional energy into renewable, as mandated by the funds. They are all reasonable.

Market Outlook He thinks the last 4 weeks have shown a shift towards opening and the market is responding. Volatility has backed down below 26, the lowest level since February. We are seeing broader gains in value and industrial and even banking stocks. He thinks there will be a shift in supply chains. There will be on-shoring and tightening up of supply chains. This quarter is expected to be weak and there will be still be a couple weaker quarters yet to come. But after that we should begin to see good organic growth.

Canadian Insurance and low interest rates? He thinks the valuations of these holdings, trading at 0.6 times book value, and 6 times earnings are good value. Premiums continue to come out of people's accounts, so he would not count them out. He likes the solid yields. You could buy and tuck it away, along with a good dividend.

He expects a vaccine sometime next year; the market is making a big bet that at least a treatment will emerge. This is a pretty fair bet. Governments have no choice but to pay people to stay home or else they'll riot in the streets. No one knows what will happen to the economy. He came into March holding 25-30% cash and spent half that, but was caught off-guard by the rally. So, he has sold some stocks to raise cash. He sold some of his cyclicals.

Sitting on a lot of cash. What to do? Start buying in underperforming areas, like Canadian banks and some consumer stocks. The banks offer good dividends. Insurance companies have also been beaten up and worth looking at. You can buy a little in these areas without undue risk.

Cryptocurrencies: will this be the future and completely replace cash? Only buy what you know. He's never gotten a satisfactory answer about the value of cryptos. So, he's steering clear of them. Every central bank now is printing money; world banks won't reset and aren't going anywhere.

A long-term bond or ETF in oil and not buying an oil stock Oil/gas bonds in Suncor or CNQ pay only 3%, or else you buy indebted oil companies that may not survive. He avoids commodity stocks. Oil needs to rise past $55 to really thrive. This could be a depressed industry for a while. Cash is a good idea.

Market. It is important to think about the market from the dynamics of inflation and growth. There is a part of the markets that doing exceptionally well and other parts that are not. Some of the market is really struggling. Tech stocks are really struggling. The tech economy has had a decade's worth of fast forward in the adoption of portability of work. Tech is a return OF your capital rather than a return ON your capital. Zoom is now worth more than the world's seven largest airlines. Some of the economy is booming and some is not ever going to make it back.

Gold and Silver ETFs. See his Top Picks today.

Market Outlook Earnings expectations have been revised downwards -- chopped by over 35% on the TSX. This is still going to be attractive relative to bond yields. He thinks gold could see further moves higher, perhaps over $2650. Canadian gold producers are reaping improved cash flows thanks to a weakening CAD exchange rate. He thinks low real interest rates will continue, making gold a good asset to hold going forward.

Market. LB-T cut their dividend, violating the sanctity of the Canadian Bank Dividend. Is there a possibility of others having to do this? Look at real estate. Banks set aside a record amount for loans going sour. People got mortgage deferrals. We can do that for a couple of months but not for ever. It is going to take quite a while for things to normalize. The vast majority of the loan books in Canada are syndicated and the banks don't have massive exposure but they do have exposure to lending. He thinks it will be for longer than the markets realize. Trump made his pronouncement about China and it was not as bad as some feared. He knows what to say and what not to say. As we get closer to the election he will get more brazen in his rhetoric about China. The markets are underestimating the importance of it.