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A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert (A Commentary)

COMMENT
The election could be far closer than the national pollsters predict. He believes we will see Supreme Court battles, especially in Pennsylvania. These threats have not been priced into the market.
COMMENT
Gold. It could break above the $2,000 level due to stimulus. Eventually, central banks will be creating stimulus by buying debt which ultimately creates reflation and lower interest rates. The feds will then accept higher inflation which leads to lower negative yields for the next year or two. Remains one of his favourite asset class.
COMMENT
Equities. We will get through Covid and a vaccine and other immunity will allow for the economy to open up for good. Part of the economy that can't fully open up right now is under valued and could be good for trading. Tech and others who are fully operational are fully priced right now.
COMMENT

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. In regards to the US elections, there are some that view a Biden win as still good for the market with another stimulus. Volatility is expected but markets can surprise sometimes. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

COMMENT
We'll eventually get a stimulus package, but not before the election. This stimulus optimism is unhelpful. We knew the Covid spike would come when the weather got colder, and American needs a national mask-wearing mandate which is effective and the least disruptive way to fight Covid. This will be a rocky week, so buy these sectors into weakness: digitization, home renos, cars, 5G and hygiene stocks.
COMMENT
The past months have taught investors to be more humble. The market must be more correlated with the mainstream. The hurt in the economy should be reflected in the market. Markets are forward looking vehicles and if they can snip out a solution, it will price this in. The bottom-line is with the humbleness, there is a need to not try to time the market, and to take a balanced view for the long-term. Evaluate your risk profile by including hedging and off-sets like fixed income or gold. Look at it holistically.
COMMENT
When you see the pricing mechanism of the market, it gives a lot of credit to visibility and predictability. The market is moving closer to that clarity. The US election is coming up, and a lot of people are waiting on that. The market goes up most of the time though. Economic engine is pushing for growth. One's primary position in the equity market should be invested.
COMMENT

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. We could see some tax loss selling in US tech stocks, especially come January. However, the volatility should be fairly short lived. If you hold these stocks long, there is no reason to worry and investors should just ride it out. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

COMMENT
Buying infrastructure before the U.S. election He's seen this before. You can trade infrastructure stocks, but don't hold them long-term. Infrastructure projects take many years to complete.
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Buy financials (banks) ahead of the stimulus package that is coming (though he expects after the Nov. 3 vote). And if interest rates, banks will only rise further.
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Any clouds on the horizon for tech stocks? Lots of uncertainty will create market turbulence. Trump testing positive, US-China trade, anti-trust actions, another potential Covid wave, lapse in fiscal stimulus, chances of a Democrat sweep, threat of drawn-out voting process. He's up 24% this year, but not letting down his guard. He's 80% invested, with 20% cash. A lot of stocks have touched his price target, so he's ended up with a cash position. Cloud, semiconductors, software applications are the main themes, with lots of moving parts.
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How are you positioning portfolios? US election has captured investors' attention. Beyond the near term, no election result will be a primary driver of markets. Waiting for US fiscal stimulus, and that will drive markets. No matter what, fiscal and monetary policies will be accommodative to the economy for quite some time.
COMMENT
Any risk that investors will bail on dividend rich stocks? Leaders have been tech, consumer discretionary, and communications. Energy, financial, and real estate have been the laggards. Dividend and value are underperforming. Growth is #1, momentum is #2, and quality is #3. He's looking at the growthier part of the market. Covid has accelerated gains of pandemic beneficiary-type stocks.
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Upside in work from home stocks? He'd put more emphasis on dividend growers, than just the highest dividend. Areas to focus on are e-commerce, health sciences, cloud computing, changes in how we shop, stay at home.
COMMENT

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. How the market will react after the vaccine becomes available is still unclear. It needs to be distributed and used even after a vaccine is authorized. Post-vaccine, economies could see more confidence and there might be a wave of spending from households and businesses. The economy should lean towards a slow and steady grind higher than a discrete jump. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

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