A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert (A Commentary)

COMMENT
Charting. Do you use the same charting for large, mid or small-cap or do you adjust for size? The key for small cap securities is liquidity of the individual securities. However, the smaller sector has a distinct seasonality.
N/A
Markets: When you get exposure to BRIC countries you are getting exposure to growth. Europe has been a strategy and is continuing to unwind. If you have exposure to the BRIC you will get growth. Wants companies with good growth prospects, good balance sheets, likes dividends, but they don’t always have them. He likes ADRs, Hong Kong, foreign listings, to get around the Sino forest problem.
COMMENT
Market. Has bounced back in a really good way as it realized the economy is still positive and the worst-case scenario has been avoided. Things are better but we can’t go up at the same pace for the whole year. Looking for some positive correction midyear but, for the year as a whole, the economy is very solid.
COMMENT
Markets. Fundamentals in Europe are not very bright right now, but on the other hand, they are improving in the US. Liquidity situation in Europe has been addressed and won't be a problem for a bit. He is much more positive on the market but is not chasing things. Will be buying on a pullback.
COMMENT
Gold. Dropped to its 50 day moving average, the bottom of the Bollinger band. His long-term outlook is very positive. Can see it testing this year's highs of around $1923 and possibly going up to $2000. If US and European debt issues are not resolved, there will have to be a new world financial system and gold will be a major part. Also, at some point, there will be inflation. His preference would be holding your 1st 5% position in bullion and the 5% or 10% should be Goldcorp (G-T) or one of his Top Picks today.
COMMENT
Last year a big rally in government bond yields, this year it will be corporate bonds, preferred shares. Partly because the economies are getting better, people are feeling safer going into the corporate bonds now.
COMMENT
In a rising interest rate environment, perpetuals are more risky. That's not the case now, as the interest rate is steady.
N/A
Markets: We are past the 7th inning stretch in this market. We are getting extended now. He doubled his cash reserves to 20-30% cash in the last month. There is a possibility of a sideways correction but greater probability it will roll over and then continue up. As investors he would let the SNC thing ride out. You are paid to be cautious in these kinds of markets. Wait a while and let it find a bottom and then it will look pretty good.
HOLD
Strip bonds. With a rise in interest rates will the capital value decrease? Should I sell to capture capital gain or keep them? This was not an individual strip bond but were called packages. They operate like annuities where they have a series of maturities. Very similar to a ladder. Very safe provincials.
COMMENT
Bonds. What is the easiest way for a neophyte to get into bonds? The 1st thing you need to do is to get educated. (He has a new book that has just been published that would be good. You can also check his website www.inyourbestinterest.ca for help. ETF's can be good but he prefers dealing directly.
COMMENT
How do convertible bonds rank in security and safety compared to regular bonds? Which ones do you prefer? Convertible bonds in Canada are focused on 2 sectors of the economy, REITs and energy. You have to be confident with the underlying company. (See Top Picks.)
COMMENT
Preferred shares? There are many changes coming to the preferred market. They're less volatile than equities and more stable than bonds. New Basil (?) rules are going to change the game. Banks are likely going to be calling all their bank resets so in the next 3 years, a lot of preferreds will disappear. Some of them are trading above their call price right now so you might consider changing them for some of the perpetuals that are coming out now.
COMMENT
Bond ladder. Have a $20,000 bond coming due on an 8 year ladder. Should I renew at around 4% or go shorter? Stick to your ladder and renew.
BUY
Do convertible ones purchased via an ETF represent decent value at the present? He believes they are. He likes Claymore Adv. Convertible Bond ETF (CVD-T), which has 81 different issues in it which gives you a basket of convertibles.
COMMENT
3 investment books that he would recommend for anybody's home library. 1) Wealthy Barber Returns by David Chilton. 2) Winning The Loser's Game by Charlie Ellis. 3) Common Sense Investing by John Vogle. 4) Thinking Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman.
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