A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert (A Commentary)

20 day moving average? This is kind of a minimum marking position. Use moving averages as guidelines and in conjunction with other technical indicators.

Point and figure charts it eliminates time from the charts so you have the price chart without time. Over a period of time, it gives you a different configuration than a regular chart that includes time. He often uses these to confirm his expectations using the regular charts.

On insurance in general, the one on his watch list is Manulife (MFC-T). There are 2 key factors with insurance companies, interest rates and the stock market. If interest rates go up, they should do better. If the stock market goes up, evaluation should also improve. One problem is that they have added a lot of shares in the last 2 years. They are paying a nice dividend, but it has to go out on a lot more shares.

Natural gas. Thinks it has a lot of potential. There is a lot of substitution for energy sectors such as oil and coal through the use of natural gas. Feels it has a tremendous future. A great sphere for contrarians.

Markets. He sees some light, but only on a fundamental basis, which in the current market means absolutely nothing. This is a fear driven market. The first thing people sell are the smaller companies. Some stocks are getting down to levels that are just jaw dropping. There are a lot of fears of a slowdown in Europe and in China. Until people gain some sense of semblance of normality or confidence in what Europe, or more importantly China, we will be in a bit of a holding pattern.

Natural gas. Power companies in the US have switched from coal to natural gas. That has even a year over year surplus from about 850 BCF to 550 so it now looks that unless we have a really, really cool summer, we will exit US storage at around 4.1 BCF to about 3.8.

Economy. Longer-term, the fixes that are required for the banking system in Europe are going to be a long time. US took the pain two years earlier and that is slowly starting to come out. Europe still has a long ways to go. China stimulating their economy will be a good thing, but let's hope they don't overdo it. He is hoping to see Europe have some conclusion and then he would like to put some capital into Europe. Likes Asia longer-term. His portfolio has about 10% cash waiting to be deployed.

Banking. What surprises him is that the regulators really know what a Pandora's box they are about to open with Libor. One of the problems with the system is about debt. The biggest chunk of that debt is the credit derivative swaps. The spreads of these are all based off of Libor. If they start complaining that it is too low because bankers have been manipulating things, if they go higher it is going to unravel.

Brazil. Are investments there safe? He thinks Brazil is great. He would rank this up with Chile. The big negative was that they had increased royalties from 2% to 4%. The average is 8% so it could probably go a little bit higher.

Gold. What percentage of a portfolio should be in actual physical gold? Thinks there is much more value in the companies then in physical gold. His strategy on the overall portfolio is at least 20%-25%, mostly through gold equities.

Would an over supply of natural gas impact uranium prices? No, because we have no nuclear plants in North America. Natural gas is a North American issue.

Economy. Central Banks globally are cutting their interest rates, which indicate there aren’t that many strong places of growth at the moment. Canada saw much larger housing starts than were expected and house prices continue to go up. To the extent that the main concern that the Bank of Canada has on the housing bubble, not sure that interest rates are going to go down so fast. Feels the market has already factored in that global interest rates are going to continue at these record lows for at least another year and a half.

Market. Environment remains entirely challenging. Market has no clear direction and doesn’t see this changing any time soon because the uncertainty that is going on in Europe will spill over into 2013.

GIC’s at 2-4% or go into stocks? Depends on your age and time horizon. However 2%-4% in GIC’s in today’s environment is actually pretty good. If there is a 10%-15%-20% drop in the market there would be a Buying opportunity and that is when he would make a move.

Simple explanation of the difference between an ETF and a Mutual Fund? Not an “either/or” binary decision. He uses them in combinations. Mutual Funds trade once a day at the end of the day. It’s a basket of different securities and about 90% are actively managed 80%-90% have embedded compensation. ETF’s are 90%-95% passive and only a small percentage have embedded compensation.