Opinions
Don Lato
Sleep Country Canada
ZZZ-T
PAST TOP PICK
Oct 29, 2018
$26.280
Stock price when the opinion was issued
household goods
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 30/17, Down 37%) The 2018 earnings have kept pace, the valuation multiples have simply collapsed. They trade at 7.3 times EBITDA versus historical levels of 11 times. They still see new store openings, maybe not with the same growth rate. Housing has slowed, which may slow sales. Still a great bet and very cheap. If he had new money, he would be buying.
household goods
HOLD
He has liked this stock for some time. They disappointed analysts last year and that is now behind them. You should start to see very good year over year comparisons. The multiple got traded down into 12 times earnings. As the comparisons improve he expects the multiple to improve taking the stock back to the mid-$30s share price. It may be by the end of next year. Yield 3.6%
household goods
DON'T BUY
A great one to buy at the height of Covid. This has come back with a vengeance. Amazing Q4 report and the housing market is on fire. Factors lined up for ZZZ. They've managed debt well. It's a one-product business, though, so keep that in mind and don't pay a big PE. Their growth will follow wider economic growth rates. Also, competition has heated up a lot.
household goods
Advertising
(Past Top Pick Nov. 30, 2017, Down 18%) It just hit 52-week lows, but its earnings from fallen from 18x to 13x. ZZZ had a few weak same-store sales in recent quarters, but not disastrous. The retail story isn't sexy compared to, say, cannabis where investors have poured in. They still dominate mattress sales in Canada. Their new ad campaign is pushing accessories which sees revenue growth. There are fears that the mattress-in- a-box companies will compete, but ZZZ also sells a box beds. It's a mystery to him why Sleep has been hammered. A few good quarters will turn it around. You can buy it now.