Stockchase Opinions

Jim Cramer - Mad Money Zillow Z-Q COMMENT Oct 29, 2021

They report Tuesday. The economics turned against them, so they've put the house-flipping business on pause. What they say Tuesday will be important, but more so will be Jay Powell's FOMC minutes on Wednesday.
$103.630

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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TOP PICK
An American online real estate company. They have an app for agents, clients, and one for home vendors and renovators. A great opportunity to buy down here. His price target is $65. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $50.67)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 28/19, Up 149%) Digital real estate database. Strong momentum. Price target of $88, and it's getting close.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
It's down 25% for the year, which he thinks is a decent buy with these low mortgage rates.
DON'T BUY
He wouldn't buy this as interest rates rise and will pressure home-buying.
COMMENT
Weakness in the U.S. housing market A report says that it's paused flipping homes, which makes him wonder if there's weakness in the housing market, which has been booming. Costs of labour and materials has been popping, which is also delaying the completion of new homes. Appliances have leap from 2 week to 8 weeks to find and install. Precarious. Housing can't keep costs down. That said, if interest rates stay low, the boom will continue in states with heavy housing demand. If. It's possible that housing demand and prices have gone up too far, too fast, but he's worried that the boom won't last.
SELL
He's naming the CEO to his Hall of Shame. The company fed Wall Street a lot of claptrap about how they understood the real estate market better than anyone. In 2019, he warned viewers about Zillow when he called it risky with some brutal speedbumps along the way. Now, they're trying to sell 7,000 homes to institutional investors for a reported $2.8 billion. So much for fix and flip. Zillow is now taking $569 million from write-offs as it winds down the business. Barton treated the street like suckers.
DON'T BUY
They screwed up and make up for it, partly, but it is too closely tied to the housing market.
DON'T BUY

Inventory levels for resale homes are at all-time lows, so that market is very tight. Has never made money, even though revenues are rising. Not for him.

WEAK BUY

Stock's a lot more cyclical than the company, as it's subject to a lot of sentiment swings in US housing. Good business, founder is still on the board. Too big for him, but a way to get capital-light housing exposure.