Stockchase Opinions

John Kim iShares S&P/TSX Cap. Cons. St. XST-T COMMENT Aug 22, 2016

The Canadian consumer staple index and has only a handful of names. People have gravitated towards this because they see stable revenues and stable cash flows. For that stability, they have afforded them really big multiples. For whatever period your holding is, that multiple must not shrink. Even if their earnings goes up, if the multiple shrinks fast enough, the stocks will come down.

$55.650

Stock price when the opinion was issued

E.T.F.'s
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TOP PICK

Just had a nice little break out. If you don’t like the ETF, you could look at their top holdings. Good mix long-term. Thinks that a year from now you will be quite happy with this.

BUY
This has broken out to new highs. It has a nice little 6 months trend. $57.60 was a pretty significant level to break out of. If it gets back to that it will probably stay in the little band it had been in. All the stocks that are pulling this ETF are looking pretty good.
COMMENT
Consumer staples vs. consumer cyclicals In a downturn, you don't need to go to a restaurant, but you still need to eat. So, you will spend more at the grocers (perhaps a discount chain) than the restos. This doesn't necessarily mean that SXT will go up, but more money will flow into defensives vs. the cyclicals. XST is a place to hide, but not a guarantee for a rising stock price.
TOP PICK
It is a seasonal pick. It broke out to a new high. Primarily food processors or distributors.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 12/19, Down 2%) He sold it about early October. If you have a lot of exposure into defensives then you might want to lighten up on this one. You would want to wait before loading up on this one now.
TOP PICK
It's entering seasonality into September. This basket of stocks is timely. A boring, steady producer.
DON'T BUY

Consumer staples stocks in the TSX. Resilient, safe names such as Metro, Loblaw, and ATD.B. Prefers the US names like XLT. It has a bigger playing field with PG, Coca-Cola, etc.

BUY

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. A good starting point for a Canadian sector exposure. The majority of its holdings is ATD, L, MRU and WN. If you want to forgo the ETF fee, it could be an alternative to buy these stocks. However, a good ETF for the sector. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 18/20, Up 63%)

A safe, no-brainer basket of staples. The grocers and Dollarama did well. The chart upward since March 2020.

WEAK BUY
XST vs. ZLU as more resilient in a bear market?

XST is made up of Canadian retail grocers. Huge weight in Loblaw and Couche-Tard, making up about half of the ETF. Rest will be Metro, Weston, Empire, Saputo, Maple Leaf. Somewhat resilient. No matter what happens in an economy, people need groceries. Less volatility than ZLU.

ZLU is low volatility exposure to a broader cohort of stocks, not just consumer staples. A US play. Lower volatility, but broader economic exposure. Will tend to outperform the S&P 500 in a market correction. Really likes it.