Stockchase Opinions

Terry Shaunessy iShares S&P US Mid-Cap Index XMC-T TOP PICK Dec 16, 2016

He likes that this has a bit more focus on the domestic US economy, over the S&P 500. Roughly 40%-45% of the S&P 500 sales come from outside of the US, whereas this one is almost 100% domestic. Earnings growth is expected to be pretty fast, somewhere around 11%-12%. That is based on 5% growth in sales, so there is a 2 for 1 leverage on sales to earnings growth. Thinks the 5% sales growth is too low, and it is going to be more like 7%-8%, which means you could get 16%-18% earnings growth. Technology is about 17% of this index, but it is technology, not Internet services. It has 17% financials, mostly community banks.

$17.340

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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COMMENT
Doesn't know the company that well, but if you get a slowdown in interest rate hikes, they should do okay. There is not a housing bubble in Canada like there is in the US. The company is well run and a potential takeover target.
TOP PICK
Xceed Mortgage Company is a sub-prime mortgage company. The stock has done well this year. Their dividends have increased. It is a well run company. He paid $9-10.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 9/06. Down 33.5%.) Missed a quarter about 9 months ago. Sold his holdings.
DON'T BUY
Great company until rules of the game changed. Trying to reposition themselves into a company that funds itself from deposits and they're trying to get a deposit and banking license. This could take a long time. Fully valued.