Stockchase Opinions

Terry Shaunessy iShares S&P US Mid-Cap Index XMC-T TOP PICK Dec 16, 2016

He likes that this has a bit more focus on the domestic US economy, over the S&P 500. Roughly 40%-45% of the S&P 500 sales come from outside of the US, whereas this one is almost 100% domestic. Earnings growth is expected to be pretty fast, somewhere around 11%-12%. That is based on 5% growth in sales, so there is a 2 for 1 leverage on sales to earnings growth. Thinks the 5% sales growth is too low, and it is going to be more like 7%-8%, which means you could get 16%-18% earnings growth. Technology is about 17% of this index, but it is technology, not Internet services. It has 17% financials, mostly community banks.

$17.340

Stock price when the opinion was issued

E.T.F.'s
It's the ideal tool to help you make quicker, more informed decisions for managing and tracking your investments.

You might be interested:

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Dec 16/16. Up 2.64%.) A core position in his US allocations, both for families and institutional accounts. There tends to be a much more domestic focus on those companies in the US, as opposed to the S&P 500. Also, this has a better tilt towards their banking system.

BUY

He likes the mid-cap sector. It is a sweet spot. He would be okay with the holding for a year or less, but eventually the market will price in the expected recession.

TOP PICK
He likes US midcaps. There are 400 holdings, value-oriented in fincials, It's more cyclical and non-tech. Small-caps still risk going out of busienss, while midcaps are in the teenage phase and will likely survive and are less risky.
BUY
You should take an ETF approach to the US-mid-cap area. This covers a wide swath of the market space of mid-caps. It is a way to diversify away from the very big names.
BUY
US small-cap exposure for an RRSP?

MER of XSU is 0.36%. Around for a dog's age. Replicates small-cap index well. Doesn't have the same valuation challenges as with the S&P 500 and concentration of the Magnificent 7.

Also consider XMC for more mid-cap exposure, MER of 0.16%, has done a bit better.

(Don't forget to incorporate foreign, developed areas from EMs ;)

BUY

When you buy these, you're saying you want less emphasis on the Mag 7 and more on the other companies. You're saying mid-cap stocks are going to do better. At this point, he'd say the mid-cap sector is preferred. He's bullish on small caps in the shorter term, and mid-caps also benefit in that environment.