Stockchase Opinions

Stan WongiShares MSCI Emerging MarketsXEC.TOBUYFeb 25, 2021

Generally, likes the emerging markets. They'll lead the way in the vaccine recovery, and benefit from a weaker US dollar. Its largest weighting is in China, with lots of very strong tech names. EM is probably underowned right now. A good hold for the next 2-3 years.
$31.90

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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BUY
Tilted portfolios towards developed and emerging international. Best returns will come from here.
HOLD
Great. A core holding. Low cost, pure beta play. Bullish on EM. They've underperformed for the last 11 years, and they're set for a long period of outperformance. The issue is that it's still 40% tech, and he's moving away from tech. Look at DEM instead, as it overweights EM companies that have higher dividends and a higher quality tilt. DEM is diversified, with a yield of about 4.5%, PE ratio of around 10.
PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jan 24/20, Up 12%) Owns a lot of this. Two-thirds of this are mega-cap Chinese and Korean stocks, including Alibaba, Tencent and Samsung which rank among the biggest in the world by market cap. Yet, they aren't in indexes like EAFE. Eventually he thinks these big names will be migrated into the regular global ETFs. For now, XEC is the way to play them. Growth will come from Asia.

COMMENT
It's a good place to start, low-cost and liquid. Long-term this is set up for a good return. But this is very broad-based, overweighting the winners of recent years. He prefers specific
TOP PICK
He hadn't anticipated the impact of the coronavirus. It has a big Chinese content that can do well in the long-run but he wouldn't be in a rush to buy in right now. Stocks are very cheap in emerging markets and they are not affected by the virus.
TOP PICK

This is big-cap China, Taiwan and Korea. Tencent, Alibaba and Samsung are in this fund. This is where he sees growth in the future. It is very volatile from time to time but it's not as volatile as it seems. Yield is 2.85%.

BUY
An emerging markets ETF with good coverage internationally. It’s performed quite well recently. The multiples are more reasonable and growth potential is okay.
TOP PICK
Some people say that Chinese problems might spill over. He sees it as production chains moving out of China into emerging markets. These economies look good, and multiples in these markets are reasonable. A very broad index. China is 30%, India 10% and a world wide spread. It’s recently had a good run.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 05/18, Up 5%) He's been positive on emerging markets. There's a shift in production out of China to some of these countries. There are stocks from South Korea, Japan, Philippines and India amogst others.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 04/19, Down 6%) This is much more about the trade issues. We've come back to last year's levels. Investors are coming in here.
TOP PICK
A bit more risky. In EM, multiples and basic costs are significantly lower than in other areas. Some of these countries (such as Korea, Malaysia, Indonesia) are benefiting from the shift in production out of China. Yield is 2.71%.
PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jul 13/18, Down 3%) Emerging markets used to be the Wild West, but they have morphed into mega-cap stocks like Alibaba and Tencent. Two-thirds of XEC are Chinese big-cap. It's much cheaper to buy this than a comparable American ETF that's Asia ex-Japan.

COMMENT
The emerging markets are interesting and outperformed the S&P in Q4. Since Q4 it has lagged however. The economic reforms and stimulus in China should support the emerging markets, however, the US China trade tension is too much of a wild card. Should have some exposure to emerging markets. The trade war can change things very quickly.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 04/19, Up 4%) Correlated to the commodity play (and China). Likes it long term. China has been a crappy place for some years, and the US government is crazy like a fox now. He'd buy this now for the long-term. The foreign exchange with XEC is all done for you, too.