Walmart IncWMTBUYMar 17, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Sep 04, 2026. Market Open.
Both great companies, but both very expensive. COST is over 50x PE, and WMT's in the 40s. Fairly low-margin model. Reliant on the consumer, and everyone's affected when that consumer is struggling.
WMT reported today. Earnings were OK, but projections on future quarters were tough. High fuel prices were highlighted.
Successful transition to e-commerce is why stock's been on fire. Topline growth is only 4-5%, and his team debates this company all the time. PE is 46x earnings for 2026, extremely expensive. Seen as a safe place to park $$ as they continue to execute.
See his Top Picks.
Wonderful business, adds a lot of value for customers. He struggles with the valuation, given its growth profile. To get a good longer-term return, you need earnings growth and multiple expansion.
WMT, as well as COST and DOL, are very defensive havens for investors. That's bid up the shares. PE ratios for the three are all north of 40x. With just a slight moderation in the PE, the overall return will still be flat. He'd be interested on a significant pullback. Be patient.
Everyone's probably shaking their head wondering why he's picking something trading at all-time highs ;) His 12-month price target is $131. Still a decent return. He'd start a position here at $113, add more at $105, and get your final third around $100.
Without a doubt, effectively runs the largest AI-enabled physical and digital commerce network in the whole world. What every retail aspires to be able to do. All that will just pour down to the bottom line. Yield is 0.83%.
The kind of company that would fit in his portfolio although he has never bought it. It had a rough 52 weeks, but is up 10% this year. It has turned the corner. They are huge, 11k stores, 400 added last year. Part of the challenge has been online shopping. Shoppers try products at Wal-Mart and then buy online. Wal-Mart is trying to close the sale by price matching. They are going to sell organic foods at 25% less. There are good growth initiatives. They are a low cost provider and so margins are thin so they feel FX hits. He would not be opposed to buying it although he has not pulled the trigger. Will they raise the dividend on May 11?