Stockchase Opinions

John DeGoey Vanguard MSCI EAFE Index ETF VEF-T TOP PICK Jul 12, 2012

Thinks the worst is over for Europe. Expects it will be a recession for the rest of this year but for European stock market performance, we are probably out of the woods. Even if Europe doesn’t do that well, Canada has done worse in the past 6 months.
$24.890

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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(A Top Pick May 1/12. Up 18.5%.) You have to be invested in different parts of the world, even when you think you don’t want to be there, because that kind of diversification cannot only reward you on the upside, but also take away some of the downside.

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(Top Pick May 1/12, Up 27.46%) A year ago people didn’t think Europe would be up this much. The bad news was already priced into the market.

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(A Top Pick July 12/12. Up 27.43%.) This is Europe, Asia and far east and it is up so high, partially because of Japan.

BUY

Likes this because it gets you outside of the North American milieu but out to developed markets rather than emerging markets. A good play.

DON'T BUY

Japan has had the best of its rally. Likes UK and Europe and they make more sense but Europe is not fixed and the next crisis is in about 5 years there. Likes VGK because it excludes Japan.

COMMENT

A product he uses from time to time and has recommended it in the past. It is an EAFE product, developed markets outside of North America. It has done pretty well.

COMMENT

Had owned this in the past. FTSE is an important index for him. This is all-CAP, as opposed to just the big CAPs like it formerly was. When they changed this, he got out of it. He prefers those that have just the blue chips. Prefers iShares MSCI EAFE (XIN-T).

WATCH

It would have benefited nicely from Brexit. It made a low back in February. It is in an uptrend. If you are going to buy this today, you want to see it test the longer term channel, or break out above $35. We are going to see new data out of England, post Brexit in the near future. This will tell us how businesses have reacted.