Richard Croft
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
UUP-N
COMMENT
Dec 10, 2015
An ETF that would benefit from a drop in the US$? Would you buy a Call on it, and how far out would you go? This is one you could buy a Put Option on. He thinks the US$ is going to be stronger, so not a bet that he would make, but if he were doing that he would go out 6 months. Currency is a tough game to play.
US $. Resistance had been broken through. He is pretty bullish. It looks like the trend from the last two years is over. Thinks currency should be a component of every one’s portfolio.
US$ Index Bull ETF. Chart shows the downtrend broke and it is now into an uptrend. US$ fell for the 2 years of the mini bull that we had but we could still have a decent stock environment and the US$ going up.
These are currencies measured against the US$. US$ has been the worst of all the major currencies. There is a retracement possibility to $23.50, which he thinks is somewhat likely. There has been some basing followed by a nice rally then more basing. He could see it going to $24 before settling down.
(Top Pick Jan 19/12, Down 1.93%) Still believes it is a long term thing. We know currency wars are going on. He is going to own this or something similar again.
The US$ has been amazingly weak. It is still trending on the downside. We are at the critical support level right now. If it breaks it then the next one is quite a bit lower. You are in a trial period right now.
If the market replays 2008, the USD should explode upward. If the US deflates, the western world will inflate and that will be through the USD. Long-term he is bearish USD, but is bullish short-term. This offers safety.
An ETF that would benefit from a drop in the US$? Would you buy a Call on it, and how far out would you go? This is one you could buy a Put Option on. He thinks the US$ is going to be stronger, so not a bet that he would make, but if he were doing that he would go out 6 months. Currency is a tough game to play.