NYSE:TOL
Toll Brothers Inc. (TOL)
135.92
+0.65 (0.48%)
as of Sep 24, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
56 watching
Financials 
Technical Analysis 0
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 15/21, Down 13%) Luxury homebuilder, so not as sensitive to the mortgage market. Still positive on the homebuilders, a lot of the damage from negative economic forecasting is already built in.
Gordon ReidOwned
contractors
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Premium contentPAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 21/21, Down 11.4%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with TOL has triggered its stop at $60. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This results in a net investment loss of 7%, when combined with our previous buy recommendation.
contractors
Premium contentTOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly As one of the largest luxury home builders in the US, we again reiterate TOL as a TOP PICK. Continued low interest rates sparking new construction should allow the company to pay down debt and buy back stock. Recently reported earnings beat analyst expectations by over 20% and ROE is 16%. It pays a small dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 15% of cash flow. It trades at 10x earnings compared to peers at 15x and is just over 1.5x book value. We continue to recommend a stop at $60.00, looking to achieve $80.00 -- upside potential over 16%. Yield 0.99% (Analysts’ price target is $79.75)
Premium contentPAST TOP PICK
Premium contentTOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We reiterate our TOP PICK recommendation of TOL as a luxury home builder. Continued low interest rates continues to spark new construction allowing the company to pay down debt, buy back stock, while growing cash reserves. It pays a small dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 15% of cash flow. It trades at 12x earnings and less than 2x book value. We would buy this with a stop loss at $54.00, looking to achieve $75.00 -- upside potential over 16%. Yield 1.07% (Analysts’ price target is $74.10)
contractors
BUY
Demand for single-family houses is surging, but homebuilders can't meet demand. So, they can charge what the market can bear (higher prices). TOL is a high-end builder that reported a good quarter yesterday. Their average selling prices and margins were greater than expected, which saw a 33-cent earnings beat off a $1.54. Other metrics, including backlog, hit record levels. This has upside.
contractors
Premium contentTOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly TOL is one the largest luxury home builders in the US, focusing on "move up" and "empty nesters" looking to upgrade to higher level housing. As the economy returns post-pandemic demand will surge once again. It trades at 14x earnings, compared to peers at 22x. With analyst views on growth, it trades at PEG ratio of less than 1 and is at under 1.5x book value. It pays a small dividend, backed by a payout ratio of about 20% of cashflow. Cash reserves are estimated over $1.3 billion and holding steady. We would buy this with a stop loss at $41, looking to achieve $71 -- upside potential over 22%. Yield 1.18% (Analysts’ price target is $70.91)
contractors
BUY
Contrary to bearish fears, Toll Brothers' CEO feels this housing boom has legs and is actually starting to recover to satiate pent-up demand. He agrees. This isn't the eve of the Great Recession; there won't be a housing collapse, because lending laws are much tighter. In May, existing U.S. home prices hit a record high. Homebuilders have excellent credit and the banks are strong.
contractors
TOP PICK
A luxury homebuilder, a sector he likes. Trades at 10X PE and is benefit from the swell in luxury spending. Good value here. (Analysts’ price target is $69.33)
Gordon ReidOwned
contractors
COMMENT
They report Tuesday. It benefited from the exodus out of cities as a homebuilder. However, shares hit a wall earlier this month, like all the stay-at-home stocks. If they reveal strong orders and expanding gross margins, the stock will rise. But lumber and appliance costs are under control, that everything is perfect.
contractors
BUY
On Wednesday we'll see US home sales data, which he feels remain strong, but there isn't enough supply. Toll and DHI (DR Horton) are buys here to capitalize on this shortage.
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick June 15/16. Up 42%.) As with the banks, this is one that you Buy and be patient with. Home formations in the US have been below trend for years and years. People have to live somewhere and the homebuilders will do well over time.
Gordon ReidOwned
contractors
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