Chris Rankin, MBA, CFA
SIR Royalty Income
SRV.UN-T
TOP PICK
Feb 09, 2007
One of the smallest restaurant trusts with concentration based in greater Toronto area and high-end restaurants. There is inflation protection and business is very good right now.
Every year trusts do very well going into the RRSP season. Because of this, all 3 picks are income trusts. Yield is close to 14%. Have a number of restaurents downtown Toronto. Last year there was no hockey season so expects with hockey back that business will do very well over the next 3 months.
A big drop of 30% recently has brought it back to long term support around $10.50. If it fell below $9.50, then it will probably fall to $7.50. Maybe a good buy opportunity here, but he would want to wait to see if it creates a basing pattern.
We are seeing lots of money going into reopening themes. Not early here. Relative to pre-covid, what is the environment? Compared to pre-covid on the 2-year chart, it looks like there is opportunity. However, it was already dipping pre-covid.
This Canadian developer of 53 restaurants, with brands like Jack Astor's, declared a special dividend for holders as of Dec. 21. It pays a good dividend that is covered by a payout ratio of 88% of cash flow - it targets 100% to unitholders. It trades at 9x earnings, under 2x book value and supports a 21% ROE. We recommend placing a stop-loss at $14.50, looking to achieve $20.50 -- upside potential of 18%. Yield 7.0%