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Stockchase Opinions

Dennis Mitchell, CFARoyal Host IncRYL.TODON'T BUYAug 16, 2007

Limited service hotels. Big exposure to Western Canada. Sort of in wrap up mode. Sold off the timeshare management and hotel management businesses, so what you are left with is a portfolio of older hotels. Their saving grace is they are based in Western Canada.
$6.85

Stock price when the opinion was issued

merchandisinglodging
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DON'T BUY
Apartments, badly messed up. He doesn’t look at it any more. Badly focused. None of the brokers cover it.
SELL
Thinks this is going to be converted back to a Corp. Not a healthy entity. If you own, try to get your liquidity out and go somewhere else.
DON'T BUY
Hotels. Yield of about 24%. Have a fair amount of capital. Doesn't look like they want to manage the hotel business. High yield but he questions if they are earning it.
COMMENT
(Market Call Minute.) If it dropped back to $2.10 he would be a Seller or a Holder.
SELL
Limited service hotels with big exposure to Western Canada. Will be affected by tourism. Expect it will be a 2 to 4 year turnaround for limited service hotels. Feels distribution is in serious jeopardy.
HOLD
(Market Call Minute.) They're going to get rid of it somehow.
SELL
(Market Call Minute.) A little bit leery of the hotel sector right now.
DON'T BUY
Micro-cap REIT in the hotel sector. Not a fan of hotels right now. Large special distribution at year-end because of some gains on properties sold.
DON'T BUY
Limited service hotels with big exposure to Western Canada. An older REIT so assets are also older, which is usually the kiss of death for limited service hotels. Also some concerns about management. Have been selling assets and reinvesting into other REIT stocks. Expecting them to report a big loss in Q3.
TRADE
Will become a leveraged play that generates cash flow from a fixed portfolio of real estate, but is used to do other things. Wouldn’t recommend it at these levels as a REIT. As an investment, it has a secure portfolio.
SELL
Would prefer Holloway Lodging (HLR.UN-T). COO left and not sure if there are any personnel running this one. Consider this one as I leveraged real estate play rather than a REIT. Owns limited-service hotels, mostly in Western Canada but is currently more of a seller of assets rather than an acquirer.
DON'T BUY
Owns and operates limited service hotels, mainly in Western Canada. Not really a going concern at this point. Selling a lot of assets. Distributions have been increased in number of times. Not sure what is happening or what their intentions are with regards to Holloway (HLR.UN-T)
BUY
Smaller, non-service hotels. Expect it will be taken out. Very high yield of 9%.
DON'T BUY
This is a lodging REIT focused on limited and full-service hotels, primarily secondary cities in western Canada. In the short to medium-term, expect to see this slowly dismantled.