Stockchase Opinions

Paul MacDonald Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc REGN-Q TOP PICK Jul 17, 2019

A higher-risk/return play. This biotech has several core products generating good free cash flow. They’re partnering with Sanofi on Dupixent to treatment severe atopic dermatitis and potentially severe asthma. They also have another drug to treat specific eye diseases. REGN boasts various late-stage drug trials. Regeneron is a new Top Pick for us, driven by the valuation having compressed significantly on concerns over U.S. Medicare Part B drug pricing policy proposals. We believe these are more than reflected in the current price.Their dermatitis drug is getting traction. This stock has been beat up for the wrong reasons. This (Analysts’ price target is $389.38)
$299.420

Stock price when the opinion was issued

Pharma & Healthcare
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BUY

Trades at 19x earnings, but have a huge drug pipeline.

BUY

Shares are down in the past 24 hours due to a delay in a drug approval. But another drug remains strong in sales, and they have double-digit in oncology drugs in trials. A great science company.

WEAK BUY

A quality company. Trades at 17x. The FDA is delaying approval of a drug, but that is correctable because the issue isn't about safety or efficacy.

DON'T BUY

The momentum is waning, and last quarter revenue growth was only 14%. They're coming to the end of the road.

BUY

An analyst upgraded this to $1,025, a very long way to go. He's gained 40% in this himself. It's reasonable at a 24x PE and enjoys momentum. Sees nothing to derail this.

BUY

He's bullish pharmas if the economy weakens. He likes it for growing organically, not buying companies, and in developing its drugs in-house or with partners. Their drug pipeline overcomes worries of their existing drugs coming off patent. Their key drug, Eylea, topped $1.04 billion in Q1 and $5.89 billion in full-year US net sales. But Roche has released a rival drug, while Eylea will come off patent in a couple years as they successfully protect their patent in court. Also, REGN just developed a new version of Eylea. Dupixent is their second-biggest drug and is performing well as well. Despite its growth, REGN trades at only 22x forward PE, and announced a $3 billion share buyback.

WATCH

Are showcasing their key drugs next week, but he remains focused on their obesity drug candidate. It's still early in those test results.

BUY

It's had bad news this week, but it rarely gets a pull back. Long term this is fine.

BUY

Run by a fine CEO. Shares are up long term, and they have a lot of promising drugs in their pipeline, including one in weight-loss.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

It's lost a third of its market cap and the selling is overdone. Now, is a buying opportunity.