Pengrowth EnergyPGF.TODON'T BUYFeb 28, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jan 09, 2020. Market Open.
The stock has bounced because of the higher oil price. It has sold assets to bring down debt, but debt is $600 million compared to an equity base of $1 billion, so it is still a bit high. At this point, they don’t have any key assets for sale. Their low production is 19,000 boe/day, which is this quarter. They will bring on more wells to bring production to 23,000 boe/day by the end of the year. Cash flow will be about $0.20 per year. His target for this year is $2 and $4.50 for the next 3-to-5 years. The company has a new CEO, with relevant (thermal oil) experience.
About a 50/50 mix between oil and natural gas. It has a big balance sheet, and they are going to have to look to do something to fix it. Have some very good assets. Seymour Schulich is a big shareholder and has been buying a lot of stock on the open market, which is a positive sign. At these levels, he doesn’t think it is compelling enough given the risks you are undertaking.