Opinions
Eric Nuttall
Pengrowth Energy
PGF-T
DON'T BUY
Oct 19, 2018
$0.940
Stock price when the opinion was issued
oil
gas
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RISKY
He would bet against any company getting taken out in the next 6 months. He lost a lot of money on this one. He is happy to still own it although they could go bankrupt. They paired own the debt by selling off assets. They have to watch what is going on in the oil price. They have done quite a bit of hedging but will be free of it during next year and the stock will depend more on resource prices. It is a huge risk to own it.
oil
gas
WEAK BUY
The company is a decent sized company in the thermal oil side. Cash flow is only 6 cents. He has it going up to 11 cents. They will spend CAP-X on expansion. They have to service their debt. Book value is about 45 cents. It takes a long term perspective on this one. There is a lot of value in the ground. You want to have this for the long term but see his top picks for shorter term ideas.
oil
gas
WATCH
If you believe price of oil is not going over $60-70, and if you believe no egress in takeaway capacity, the bear side comes through. A major shareholder just bought more stock. On the value of barrels in the ground, this is like a lottery ticket on oil if it goes to $100. He sees $100 oil on a consistent basis in next few years, but until then the stock will languish.
oil
gas
PAST TOP PICK
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Although he is an oil bull, selling assets to clean up the balance sheet has limited the ability to improve financially despite the rise in oil prices. There are better companies to choose from.