Pengrowth EnergyPGF.TOSELLSep 11, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jan 09, 2020. Market Open.
The stock has bounced because of the higher oil price. It has sold assets to bring down debt, but debt is $600 million compared to an equity base of $1 billion, so it is still a bit high. At this point, they don’t have any key assets for sale. Their low production is 19,000 boe/day, which is this quarter. They will bring on more wells to bring production to 23,000 boe/day by the end of the year. Cash flow will be about $0.20 per year. His target for this year is $2 and $4.50 for the next 3-to-5 years. The company has a new CEO, with relevant (thermal oil) experience.
A company that is very, very levered with the potential of having significant problems going forward, should the price of energy continue to go down. Recently cut their dividend to essentially zero to maintain capital, but still have a debt to cash flow of about 5 times. Way too much debt on the balance sheet. If you are very positive on energy prices recovering, this will give you the most return, but at the same time will give you the most downside if energy continues to fall. If you own, consider moving your capital to someplace else.