Pengrowth EnergyPGF.TOCOMMENTNov 21, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jan 09, 2020. Market Open.
The stock has bounced because of the higher oil price. It has sold assets to bring down debt, but debt is $600 million compared to an equity base of $1 billion, so it is still a bit high. At this point, they don’t have any key assets for sale. Their low production is 19,000 boe/day, which is this quarter. They will bring on more wells to bring production to 23,000 boe/day by the end of the year. Cash flow will be about $0.20 per year. His target for this year is $2 and $4.50 for the next 3-to-5 years. The company has a new CEO, with relevant (thermal oil) experience.
The big factor with this company is the Lindbergh project, which is expected to start coming on in the near future. The success of that is largely going to determine what happens with this company. They have had higher production at their Cardium assets and the old Garrington area has done little bit better. They've hedged 83% of their 2015 production at $93-$94.50, and he feels that will stand them in good stead. Has a reasonably good chance of appreciation from here. A 10.5% dividend yield and doesn't think they will review their dividend policy until some time next year, if conditions don't improve a lot.