Stock price when the opinion was issued
G-T and OSK today agreed to settle some of the litigation between them, but they are not currently in talks. Gold had a huge move and it is hard to distinguish what is the driver. This one should suffer if the deal is not going to go through. Gold stocks are very, very cheap. We need core inflation to pick up to drive gold. We are looking at range trading for most gold stocks right now. Thinks there may be one more move down for gold.
Stock is trading well above Goldcorp’s (G-T) offer price of just under $6. Gold stocks currently have positive momentum so you have a combination of momentum in the sector and a company which is being taken over. Chart shows it has clearly broken out and is in an upward trend. Outperforming the market and above its 20 day moving average. Looks great.
Goldcorp (G-T) deal is underwater right now. The proposal they have on the table is lower than where the stock is trading. Yamana (YRI-T) came in last week with a friendly proposal to buy half the company. Thinks this saga has not come to a conclusion just yet and feels Goldcorp will likely come back and rebid.
(A Top Pick May 14/13. Up 79.18%.) What happened here is the takeover action. First the overture made by GoldCorp (G-T) followed by Yamana (YRI-T) coming in like a white knight, and ultimately Agnico (AEM-T) and Osisko (OSK-T), which seem to be in the driver seat. He thinks the bid is a full and fair value for what the business is worth.
It's been bumpy. It broke resistance at $19, but suddenly retraced, because of weakness in their diamond operation and poor diamond prices. Also, there was a corporate shake-out, including cutting a founder and installing a new CEO. Since then, they've returned to $19 and he expects shares to re-test last year's highs.