Opinions
Robert Cohen B.A.Sc., MBA, CFA
Oceanagold Corp
OGC-T
DON'T BUY
Mar 07, 2017
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Likes gold companies operating in stable countries. Australia, Canada, Philippines. Really, really strong balance sheet. Trading at book value. Attractive as a potential takeover by a senior producer due to its low valuation and great balance sheet. Yield is 0.7%.
(Analysts’ price target is $5.82)Chart's seeing a pause, because it ran up so fast. And that's OK. Markets pull back in 2 ways: either by going down, or by consolidating. There's a really good case for owning gold. This one could consolidate for another 1-2 months or so, and then break out. If he owned it, he'd hold.
Doesn't own, but it's the kind of gold company that likely does well in next 2 years. He suspects that over the next 1-2 years, mid-cap names such as this will either do well or will be taken over. Scale matters in equity markets today; mere inclusion in indexes is good for the share price.
It is an intermediate producer of gold and copper with four mines. Had a very big stock price jump recently with an earnings surprise of 18% and earnings revision of 19%. Free cash flow is a catalyst and he considers it an obvious buy. Earnings growth is very good along with a P/E of 8.3 this year and 5.7 for 2026. It is a small cap and did a 3 for 1 consolidation in June. Buy 9 Hold 1 Sell 0
A mid-cap gold company. They are having trouble with their Didipio mine. The Philippine government has put a kind of moratorium on production as they review the environmental impact. This makes it a tough place to invest. If they lose their license, it represents 30%-40%. The political risk would scare him away.