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Andrew Pyle NVIDIA Corporation NVDA-Q WATCH May 28, 2025

Reports tonight.

Won't easily be toppled from the throne on which it finds itself. Every time someone thinks they can do that, it comes out with a new version of the chip that's even better. Definitely the bellwether on demand going forward. Any sign of negativity in the comments tonight won't play well for any name in this arena.

He has a coin to flip on what the results are going to be. The interesting thing about today's report is that he feels the bar's being set a bit lower than in previous quarters. We're now in the thick of uncertainty about where the economy is going over the next 6 months after the impact of Trump's policies. We've heard cautionary whispers coming out, so analysts may be looking for some negativity in the comments tonight.

If results aren't as bad as we think, stock could see a nice little pop. Stock's consolidated after a nice rebound from April. It comes down to where's the market, where's the bar been truly set, and what does the CEO say?

Personally, he thinks the street's prepared for some bad news tonight. If it gets that, but nothing worse, it doesn't mean the market will crater on this stock. There will be nagging concerns:  that we've priced too much into the stock, we've priced in too much demand, what's the competition going forward, are there viable and cheaper options coming out of other countries like China? If so, investors will be prepared to pull back. But it's not over yet for the stock; it's still the market leader and a solid company going forward.

$134.810

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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TRADE

He sold the Aug.15 180 strike for $3.50 (20% annualized). Sold 25% of his position to rebalance to slightly overweight.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Likes technical superiority on AI chips.

BUY ON WEAKNESS
NVDA vs. AVGO

Clear winner, because its chips make AI possible. There is some competition out there, but AVGO isn't one of them. Look for a good buying opportunity. 

He sees a parallel with INTC, which was a darling for many years. Not now. NVDA still has the market share; there are companies trying to catch up, but NVDA is still further ahead.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 17/25, Up 25%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with NVDA is progressing well.  To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $140) to $156 at this time.

BUY

They have a moat in terms of chips that run AI software, which keeps the #2 far behind.

BUY

It's good that they can now sell those chips to China (though pay a tariff and will result in an earnings hit). NVDA has had a lot of momentum.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

They report Aug. 27. AI will remain a tailwind for productivity and economic growth. However, he liked NVDA when it was below $90 last April, but not at twice the price. It costs too much now, though he likes the company. Technically, it needs to fall to at least $150, in the range of $125-150.

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TOP PICK

NVIDIA Corporation is a leader in the semiconductor industry, renowned for its advances in graphics processing units (GPUs) and artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure. Founded in 1993 and headquartered in Santa Clara, California, the company has consistently pushed the boundaries of technology, particularly in gaming graphics, AI, and data center markets. NVIDIA's technology is broadly adopted across multiple industries, including automotive, healthcare, and financial services, making it a key player in the technology sector. Social media mentions are up 11.1% in the past 24h.

TOP PICK

Marries hardware and software and applying massive improvements to push product cycle forward. AI wouldn't exist if not for NVDA. Capex cycles do end, so it won't be the honeymoon period forever. But we're only in 4th-5th inning, much more growth to go on the capex front. Still underbuilt, undersupplied, AI still taking off. 

Earnings are coming up, and he thinks they'll beat and raise again. Yield is 0.02%.

(Analysts’ price target is $193.89)
BUY
NVDA vs. PLTR

He'd still buy here. Always fireworks around quarterly earnings. It's run up, but fundamentals are outstanding. Clear technical superiority in AI chips. AI infrastructure buildout will keep order books full for a long time. Major beneficiary of AI capex.

No contest. This is the one to own.