NVIDIA CorporationNVDAWATCHMay 28, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 01, 2026. Market Open.
His favourites right now are AMZN, NVDA, and MSFT. They're all going higher.
On the capex spend, sometimes it's a leap of faith. You're relying on these companies having some of the smartest people in the world with the most disposable capital. And those people really believe it's not a bridge to nowhere.
Undoubtedly, some companies are overdoing it and there will be another side to the mountain. But we don't know when that will be.
Chart shows staircase consolidations and rallies. Earnings days are a total black box for him, no idea what's going to happen today (coin toss). We'll either see a corrective phase back to support, or see another push higher.
Longer-term chart continues to work. He'd look to add on weakness -- either right away if there's a drop, or later in July/August if the stock moves higher in the short term.
He always says buy this, don't trade it. They just delivered another set of stunning numbers: revenue growing 85% year over year, revenue beating with most of their growth coming from their core data centre business, hyperscaler revenues up 115% YOY while other areas grew 74% YOY, while gross margins were in line, free cash flow beat, and announced an $80 billion share buyback. They raised guidance, too. But the stock is so big, it's hard to surprised investors, so the stock is flat after hours.
Likes it fundamentally, but a lot of things are overbought at this point. Be cautious how you step in. Will do well over next 12-24 months. Relatively cheap compared to other growth stories out there. The "arms dealer" of the AI buildout. Like the "picks & shovels" of the AI "gold rush". An ecosystem of hardware and software.
Will benefit from the major capex spend by hyperscalers. Earnings growth forecast for next few years is 45% a year. PEG ratio ~0.6x, very attractive valuation. Yield is 0.02%.
He has a full position (8%). Consolidated, now heading up. Has become a very diversified company.
If you own it, sell some short-dated calls against the $207-210 level. If we can get a weekly close above $207, thinks we're off the the races.
Could buy some here, more at $186, and your final piece around $176.
Won't easily be toppled from the throne on which it finds itself. Every time someone thinks they can do that, it comes out with a new version of the chip that's even better. Definitely the bellwether on demand going forward. Any sign of negativity in the comments tonight won't play well for any name in this arena.
He has a coin to flip on what the results are going to be. The interesting thing about today's report is that he feels the bar's being set a bit lower than in previous quarters. We're now in the thick of uncertainty about where the economy is going over the next 6 months after the impact of Trump's policies. We've heard cautionary whispers coming out, so analysts may be looking for some negativity in the comments tonight.
If results aren't as bad as we think, stock could see a nice little pop. Stock's consolidated after a nice rebound from April. It comes down to where's the market, where's the bar been truly set, and what does the CEO say?
Personally, he thinks the street's prepared for some bad news tonight. If it gets that, but nothing worse, it doesn't mean the market will crater on this stock. There will be nagging concerns: that we've priced too much into the stock, we've priced in too much demand, what's the competition going forward, are there viable and cheaper options coming out of other countries like China? If so, investors will be prepared to pull back. But it's not over yet for the stock; it's still the market leader and a solid company going forward.