Stock price when the opinion was issued
Has been cheap on NAV for years and stock has been a bit of a disaster. Largely a result of them missing on several key plays. Lost traction with the street and there are no brokerage firms that are really supporting the stock. Also, a victim of a decrease in natural gas liquids pricing. They have lower valued NGLs, which has impacted their revenue stream.
There is a record amount of product in the market. Unless a company has a really fantastic asset that is better than what the buyer is purchasing, the likelihood of a very high bid is very low. This company’s drilling has really struggled over the last couple of years and management has over promoted certain plays that have not come to fruition for several years.
Liquids rich gas play. Was challenged earlier this year because a lot of their liquids are not oil. Had some good results from their key Cardium play. Still pretty cheap at 4.2-4.3 times cash flow on a 2013 basis. Expects that $4 is fair value.