Chris Blumas
Moderna
MRNA-Q
DON'T BUY
Oct 15, 2025
Chart over 5 years shows how it went parabolic, and then gave it all back. Question is whether there are adjacent markets where it can use its technology, and the answer is too difficult to handicap. Biotech tends to be a binary business, boom or bust. He's not an expert in biotech, so is not comfortable participating.
A staple, and that sector is starting to outperform the market. A value play. His target is around $200-ish, if it can break resistance around $140. If it fails, give it a few days, and then walk away if you have to.
Moderna rallied 29% in May after a good report and news on developing a bird flu vaccine to fight that epidemic. Another boost came when the government approved their RSV vaccine. But Moderna is expected to lose money in the foreseeable future. Instead, look at biopharma.
Post-Covid, they have a pipeline of drugs under development, related to vaccines and cancer. This is higher-risk in health care. They have $3 billion in revenues, but are spending a lot in R&D, more than their revenues, so they're not profitable.
Chart over 5 years shows how it went parabolic, and then gave it all back. Question is whether there are adjacent markets where it can use its technology, and the answer is too difficult to handicap. Biotech tends to be a binary business, boom or bust. He's not an expert in biotech, so is not comfortable participating.