Opinions
Javed Mirza
Mosaic Company (The)
MOS-N
BUY
Jul 19, 2023
$38.030
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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TOP PICK
Hit a 52-week high on Wednesday. Strong demand, low inventories, supply issues and the Russian sanctions have fueled a rapid price increase for fertilizers globally. Stockchase Research expert Michael O'Reilly recently reiterated it as a TOP PICK. Social media mentions increased 88% in the last 24h.
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PARTIAL BUY
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks Mosaic shares have doubled so far this year, but there is still a little more room to run. Even if Russia ceases its war, sanctions are likely to stay in place. Certainly, it will take a while for foreign companies to trust and resume business with Russia across all sectors. In the first three months of 2022, Mosaic shares ran twice as far as its Canadian counterpart, Nutrien , 71% to 37%. Mosaic pays a 0.6% dividend. Read 3 Booming Resource Stocks: Fertilizer and Natural Gas for our full analysis.
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TOP PICK
Likes the ag space. Higher beta name. One of the largest producers of phosphate and potash. Ukraine conflict is creating supply shocks that are helping names like this. Management expects markets to remain tight beyond 2022. Longer term, reduction in arable land pushes demand for product. Yield is 0.66%. (Analysts’ price target is $75.22)
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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly With agriculture taking centre stage during the Ukraine crisis, second only to energy, we again reiterate MOS as a TOP PICK. The company is the largest producer of potash and phosphate fertilizer in the US -- desperately needed to boost farmer yields during the global food shortage. It trades at 8x earnings compared to peers at 11x and and supports a healthy 23% ROE. It continues to build cash reserves will retiring debt. We recommend trailing down the stop slightly (from $55) to $52, looking to achieve $75 -- upside potential over 30%. Yield 1.01% (Analysts’ price target is $75.15)
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 07/22, Down 7.5%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with MOS triggered its stop at $52. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment gain of 19%, when combined with previous buy recommendations.
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TOP PICK
High quality business that will benefit from economic recovery.
Price of commodity stabilizing.
As China opens up, price of fertilizer will rise.
Trading at low valuation that is good for long term investors.
Small dividend yield that has room to grow.
Excellent management team.
Lots of free cash flow.
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PAST TOP PICK
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Really likes it here. Quant work is showing attractive value at these levels. Pulled back to some key technical levels. Chart is improving.