Opinions
Stockchase Insights
Mainstreet Equity Corp
MEQ-T
BUY
Dec 06, 2024
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Core holding in portfolio. Very strong asset base. Sharp management with founder who has lots of skin in the game (~50%). Excellent quarter with higher revenue and cash flow. New M&A - bought ~600 apartment as sellers wanted to sell before capital gains tax . Expecting 20,000 apartments by the end of the year. One of the best compounding companies in Canada.
Excellent company with strong prospects. Will continue to own. Founder led, with lots of skin in the game. Demand of housing expected to keep growing. Does not lose any sleep over company. Mid-market apartments also continue to grow. No rent control in Western Canada - helps increase profits. Lots of "blue sky" to keep growing.
In a sweet spot right now. Rents are going up quite a bit (12% YOY), as there's no rent control in many western Canadian provinces, yet vacancies are down substantially. Stellar results last quarter. Sold off with rest of REITs, yet it's not a REIT.
Typically trades at a premium to NAV, but today it's at a discount. Extremely well run, haven't raised a dollar of equity in 20 years. Compounded annually at 18% for 20 years. Yield is 1%.
(Analysts’ price target is $226.00)
Revenue was $67.6M slightly better than estimates. Rental revenue rose 16%. Cash flow per share rose 19% to $2.47, and ahead of estimates of $2.39. Net operating income rose 11%. We would consider it a solid quarter. Commentary was good, with the company talking about 'major opportunities' in the coming year. The dividend was raised last month. We would be comfortable at $200.
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Top of his list of regrets, perhaps the best-performing real estate stock in NA over the past 5 years. Incredible returns to shareholders and growth. Likes the business and management, though would favour a deeper management bench. Moral supporter of the company, but not an owner (kept thinking he'd get it cheaper, but never did).
Excellent company that is founder led (lots of skin in the game). Expecting shortage of affordable housing to be very good for business. Ability o acquire new properties, and fix them up is very good. Rising population without rent control is good for profit margins. Zero equity raises since original IPO is incredible track record.
EPS of $12.18 beat estimates of $2.4 and sales of $66.9M missed estimates of $69.27M. It raised its dividend by 45% to $0.04 per share, and net operating income rose 24% in the quarter. Rental revenue from operations rose 20%, and the vacancy rate fell to 3.4% from 4.3% last year. While the results were strong, and growth remains at high levels, there was an analyst downgrade due to its lofty valuations (24X forward earnings). Its valuation has mostly remained flat over the past couple of years, but the company has executed well on growth and profitability. Given its continued execution, we would be comfortable with an entry point around $195 to $200.
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