MDF Commerce Inc.MDF.TOTOP PICKSep 22, 2020Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of May 22, 2024. Market Open.
It develops business to government and e-commerce platforms. It is the number one player in the U.S. and has some recent, very significant contract wins. It is a great turn-around story and is now profitable with positive free cash flow along with 80% of revenue being high margin. He sees good growth. Buy 2 Hold 2 Sell 0
(Analysts’ price target is $4.56)Still likes it, tremendously undervalued. Leaders in Canada and US. 6% market share in US, a nascent market. Recently announced 2 significant US contracts. Robust pipeline of states looking to digitize. Trades at barely over 1x revenues. EBITDA positive, improving every quarter. Lots of room still.
Still owns it. Came down with all tech stocks, and they made a costly acquisition. Also have an e-commerce business with clients like Sobeys; he thinks MDF may sell this and become a pure e-procurement company. He sees upside, because they have valuable businesses they can sell. Shares remain cheap. Growth will resume in the US with a recently acquisition.
The AGM is tomorrow. They provide e-commerce software to big companies like Sobey's, just like Shopify does for smaller ones. Also, they enable suppliers to bid on government contracts; MDF just won a big contract in this business in the UK. 80% of their sales are recurring, but it trades at only 1.5x recurring revenues vs. 30-40x among peers. A no-brainer. You will do extremely well with this. Investors associate MDF with its hodge-podge of accumulated internet platforms over years, but new managers are focusing on their winning core platforms. He expects new contract coming, helped by the online trend. (Analysts’ price target is $8.85)