Stockchase Opinions

Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA KraneShares CSI China Internet KWEB-N BUY ON WEAKNESS Jul 12, 2021

Saw a parabolic rise in the beginning of the year. Now it has reversed to 52-week lows. A value play now with lots of discounting factors. A lot of bad news priced in. Doesn't mean it can't fall further, but it could be a buying opportunity to ease in. Wouldn't worry about short term volatility.
$61.785

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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BUY ON WEAKNESS
Has been nibbling away at the underperformance of China. With the pullback, you can start adding on these names. Likes China. Overweight strategically.
BUY ON WEAKNESS

Resistance has turned to support around $65. Around this level, the risk-reward is pretty good. It is an opportunity when it falls to these levels. Equivalent companies to Amazon in China is quite cheap.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

These Chinese educational stocks were 7% of the index at the top of the stock. Now they are around 1% of the index. There is a chance all of them go to 0%. There are other good companies such as Chinese equivalents for Google, Amazon, etc. . There is a lot of value in them.

BUY
Good ETF to take advantage of the selloff in BABA. Includes Chinese internet technology names like Tencent, Baidu, and JD.com.
RISKY
They are converting the ADRs . The whole pressure and uncertainty of the Congress move to de-listing companies that will not open books. None of the companies in KWEB were part of the proposed list of equities. Thinks China will come to a degree of agreement with the SCE. These companies are still worth a lot of money.
BUY
As an options trader, he just saw a monster buyer of this, and he's in as well.
DON'T BUY

Reviews he's seen say that it's too focused on the net and software, too nichey. Perhaps look at something that's broader.

TOP PICK

He's not typically a fan of investing in China, as regulations there can make it seem like the Wild West. Things can swing pretty heavily with the political climate. 

China is trying to inflate its market with interest rate cuts and other measures to try to promote economic growth. Some of the companies in this ETF will be major beneficiaries of that. Chinese tech companies have underperformed for a long time, provides an opportunity. Foresees a move up from the reflation trade. As long as the government doesn't get too involved, some companies are primed for a breakout.

RISKY

This has rallied due to serious government stimulus in China. But such stimulus is historically fickle and unpredictable. So be careful here and take profits.