Stockchase Opinions

Stephen Weiss, Founder, Short Hills Capital Partners Intel INTC-Q DON'T BUY Aug 18, 2025

Intel has fallen so far behind TSM that it's hard to attract and maintain to talent, creating a negative cycle and continuous decline. He doesn't mind Washington have some stake in Intel, but Intel has so many issues. TSM and NVDA remain the top companies in chips.

$23.660

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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WEAK BUY

Stock's gone nowhere for over a decade -- lost leadership on manufacturing and on design. US administrations have been pushing manufacturing back to the US, which makes INTC interesting. New, very technically capable, CEO; this is encouraging, though nothing will happen immediately.

DON'T BUY

With so much other opportunity and greater certainty in the tech space, this name requires you to take a big leap. Just hasn't executed on delivery or timing. Technology being bought up piecemeal. C-suite revolving door.

DON'T BUY

Avoid. Firmly in the land of long-term turnaround, which is risky. Sold assets. Foundry business relies on government support. Design business doesn't quite fit future directions of data centres and personal computing. Look at TSM.

SELL ON STRENGTH

Revolving door of CEOs -- hard to find someone with both business and engineering skills. If you ever see it up around $25, take a bit of profit. Or write some calls against it as it gets close if you don't want to get taken out. It will have its day, but it reminds him of IBM. Believes that with Mr. Trump on the throne, he'll protect this company pretty carefully.

HOLD

At this point, hang on. Management turnover, concerns they're lagging in technology, not positioned to benefit from huge growth in AI. Earnings expected to grow nicely over the next few years. Valuation not demanding at 10x EBITDA for 2025.

DON'T BUY

They keep missing the mark, keep lagging in this space. Are unlikely to recover. The C-suite has been a revolving door.

DON'T BUY

Struggled for a long time. Could be putting in a bottom. The play to be in if we repatriate chips to NA. Decent dividend. You don't look for value in the chip sector. There are better value names, and better growth names, so why own this one.

DON'T BUY

The foundry was ill-advised and the old CEO was overspending. The new CEO is better, and better understands foundries. That said, it's still early to invest in this.

DON'T BUY
Trump could convert Intel's grants from the chips act into equity

This doesn't help their core problem. Intel is not in a good position.