Gordon Reid Intel INTC-Q DON'T BUY Feb 16, 2023

"A day late and a dollar short." Missed the boat, hard to catch up. Got into AI belatedly. Not much is happening. All the chip producers are coming down. Not even a trade anymore.

Has made no money for investors for 30 years, unless you were a trader. Loved it below $20. Trimming here ~$25. At $35, he'll trim again. If it gets above $40, he'll probably be out.

Stock's gone nowhere for over a decade -- lost leadership on manufacturing and on design. US administrations have been pushing manufacturing back to the US, which makes INTC interesting. New, very technically capable, CEO; this is encouraging, though nothing will happen immediately.

With so much other opportunity and greater certainty in the tech space, this name requires you to take a big leap. Just hasn't executed on delivery or timing. Technology being bought up piecemeal. C-suite revolving door.

Avoid. Firmly in the land of long-term turnaround, which is risky. Sold assets. Foundry business relies on government support. Design business doesn't quite fit future directions of data centres and personal computing. Look at TSM.

Revolving door of CEOs -- hard to find someone with both business and engineering skills. If you ever see it up around $25, take a bit of profit. Or write some calls against it as it gets close if you don't want to get taken out. It will have its day, but it reminds him of IBM. Believes that with Mr. Trump on the throne, he'll protect this company pretty carefully.

At this point, hang on. Management turnover, concerns they're lagging in technology, not positioned to benefit from huge growth in AI. Earnings expected to grow nicely over the next few years. Valuation not demanding at 10x EBITDA for 2025.

They keep missing the mark, keep lagging in this space. Are unlikely to recover. The C-suite has been a revolving door.

Struggled for a long time. Could be putting in a bottom. The play to be in if we repatriate chips to NA. Decent dividend. You don't look for value in the chip sector. There are better value names, and better growth names, so why own this one.

The foundry was ill-advised and the old CEO was overspending. The new CEO is better, and better understands foundries. That said, it's still early to invest in this.