Stockchase Opinions

Andrew McCreath HBP US 30 yr Bond Bear+ ETF HTD-T DON'T BUY Nov 09, 2009

US 30-Year Bond Bear+ ETF. Would not be involved with bonds. Fed and commercial banks will continue to be buyers. Consumers are still buying bonds even if they have low yields.
$14.890

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COMMENT
30 year US bonds bear ETF. Very much a consensus trade, which worries him a little. Make sure you have a great exit strategy. Would use it as a trading vehicle.
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US 30 yr Bond Bear+ ETF. If US$ falls, interest rates will have to go up substantially so holding bonds will be bad and Shorting will be good in the long term. In the short term he thinks bonds could do well. This one is a Double, which is good for a day but every day it needs rebalancing so you might be eroding the value over time.
DON'T BUY
US 30 Yr Bond Bear+ ETF. A bearish bet on interest rates. Basically it's 2X inverse of the 30-year bond future. Very volatile instrument and is meant for trading, not Buy and Hold. A bit early to make a bearish bet on interest rates.
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(A Top Pick Nov 28/08. Down 4.86%.) Started to see some downward pressure on the yield of the 10-year bond so he covered that recently.
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(A Top Pick Nov 28/08. Down 5.43%.)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 15/09. Up 15.3%.) Took profits but is looking at it again because he likes what is happening to the bonds. Thinks interest rates are heading higher.
TOP PICK

Thinks that interest-rates are heading higher and this is a good way to play it, especially in the US. Even if the economy is improving, interest-rates have to normalize and because of that, this will do well. This is levered 2 to 1.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Dec 20/13. Down 21.99%.) Had a stop-loss on this and was stopped out back in January.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Dec 20/13. Down 27.56%.) 30-year bond bear. That was a short-term trade and he was out in January.