Michael BowmanBETAPRO SP TSX 60 DAILY INVERSE ETFHIX.TOWATCHOct 30, 2013
Inverse ETFs for when the market turns bearish. We don’t know which market is going to turn. We know that it is very difficult to forecast the market. Forecasters are never wrong, they are just early. This would be the one to buy. It hasn’t done a lot because the market has been so strong, but markets don’t go up in a straight line. You have to look at a TSX chart, look at some support resistance, throw on some 50 day, 200 day and 20 day moving averages and try to pick a spot where you are comfortable buying it. Not a long-term hold.
Like the HIU, rises when the S&P goes down. Own this if you expect hard times ahead, if you're bearish, as banks continue to raise rates to fight inflation.
HIX is an inverse play on the TSX 60 similar to HDGE or RWM. It is a single inverse, so there is only a tiny element of future market exposure. There is no leverage involved in HIX.
MER of 1.4%. It's an inverse product, so if markets will go down, this ETF will go up. But you must watch HIX everyday to see how trading goes, because this is a daily reset.
What ETF shorts the market? Don't short and avoid leveraged ETFs, but if you have to, then look at HIU-T or HIX-T. When you short, you're fighting the dividend and the natural drift upward of equities. Don't short. Instead, look at the TLT-T (up 63% in 2008) or HTB-T (up 29% in 2008); you get the outsized returns from owning a US-denominated bond and get paid to wait.
This is for hedging of your nonregistered portfolio. If you want to pull a little bit of risk off the table, you can Buy some of this which will hedge your portfolio a little.
He is looking to add shorts to the US market. He uses the RWM-N. When the markets fall, small caps underperform on the way down. You need a currency hedge.
Whenever you buy any inverse, you have to have the underlying stock falling to make any money. A single inverse doesn’t have the leveraged problem that a double instrument has. His feeling is that any inverse is a short term play. He is very hesitant to use these kinds of things.
Likes the single inverse ETFs but stays clear of the doubles on commodities. There is room in every portfolio for a hedge. HIX-T is a good way to play. The doubles are a 2-4 day hold only.
Inverse ETFs for when the market turns bearish. We don’t know which market is going to turn. We know that it is very difficult to forecast the market. Forecasters are never wrong, they are just early. This would be the one to buy. It hasn’t done a lot because the market has been so strong, but markets don’t go up in a straight line. You have to look at a TSX chart, look at some support resistance, throw on some 50 day, 200 day and 20 day moving averages and try to pick a spot where you are comfortable buying it. Not a long-term hold.